Sunday 5 February

This week saw ‘Integrity, Professionalism, Accountability’ Rishi Sunak pass the 100 day mark of his administration (sorry but I can’t call it ‘premiership’) and besides those three mission statement keywords being undermined on a daily basis it does look as if his regime is fast unravelling. It was widely predicted that Zahawi wouldn’t last the course, though he had a good go at brazening it out for some time, but news of his sacking surely would have sent shivers down the spines of others in the frame for breaking the ministerial code. His resignation letter was striking – arrogant to the end, no apology or hint of contrition and even having the nerve to blame the ‘4th estate’, aka the media which outed him. It reveals an assumption of not being found out or ever paying the price. Perhaps worse for Sunak, though, is the question it poses, besides others, around his judgement, as it’s now clear he knew both about Zahawi and Raab allegations (surely soon next for the chop) long ago but still appointed them to high positions.

We’re used to hearing the Zahawi background story trotted out by the media (penniless Kurdish refugee fleeing Iraq speaking not a word of English etc) but there’s another version which challenges this media-assisted mythology and which gives a very different impression. I was only recently thinking back to another Conservative Party Chair, who years ago was several times disgraced and who was given a custodial sentence: ironic to later learn that it was Jeffrey Archer who gave Zahawi a considerable leg up and who schooled him in the art of ‘fixing’ and deal making.

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The position of the Justice Secretary and Deputy Prime Minister is looking increasingly untenable as more allegations of bullying emerge – now at least 24 and the political campaigner Gina Miller recently added to the pile. Of course, there’s a separate process to investigate him (this splitting of investigations is yet another undermining of democracy) but he’s still in post despite more senior Tories saying he should stand aside until the investigation has concluded. Not surprisingly, Raab himself has said the allegations are baseless and ‘malicious’. Yes, all 24 and more of them. But it’s not a good look for him when even former party chair Jake Berry said he should step aside. While we have the usual accusations from some, including Jacob Rees-Mogg, of victims’ ‘snowflakery’, this is a dismissive response totally lacking in understanding as to how a difficult boss can blight lives. The Times de tails how staff felt scared and that their mental health was damaged because of Raab’s behaviour.

We hear that champagne corks were popped when Raab was sacked from the Ministry of Justice by Liz Truss but when he was reinstated weeks later ‘anxiety levels shot through the roof’. One member of staff who has since left the department said they regularly witnessed staff in his private office “in floods of tears” and “physically shaken” after meetings and interactions with Raab….. Civil servants said that even when Raab did not leave staff in tears he relished the “imbalance of power” between him as a secretary of state and officials — often in their twenties and at the start of their careers’. This suggests an even more unsavoury aspect to his behaviour yet quite a few continue to say that a boss should be able to ‘bang the table’ etc. But why should they have to? Surely we should expect a mature individual to express their views and expectations without behaving like a toddler and resorting to shouting and bullying. Meanwhile, the PM continues to express his confidence in his Justice Secretary, often seen in retrospective as the kiss of death to someone later sacked.

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The latest is that evidence is piling up more substantially even than was previously thought, because at least one official complaint has been found to have involved the accounts of 27 staff. ‘The group of Ministry of Justice officials are understood to be represented by a memo warning that some colleagues had been forced to take time off for “extended periods” as a result of having to deal with Raab. It states that others affected felt they needed to stay at work to stop extra pressure being placed on their colleagues’.

Then we get the usual defensive fiction from the MoJ ‘spokesman’: There is zero tolerance for bullying across the civil service. The deputy prime minister leads a professional department, driving forward major reforms, where civil servants are valued and the level of ambition is high. There is an independent investigation under way and it would be inappropriate to comment further on issues relating to it until it is completed’.

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But these aren’t the only problems Sunak has to contend with, a major one being the ongoing strikes, the coinciding ones this last week almost approaching a general strike. He and ministers continue with their ideological intransigence in not meeting the unions or not meeting them to contribute anything meaningful to the discussions. It doesn’t seem very bright of him not to realise that the ‘pay rises are unaffordable’ schtick is untenable given how much this government has wasted over the years and how much they earn themselves, not to mention expenses and undeclared payments. On Wednesday it was reckoned 475,000 were on strike, the single biggest day of industrial action for more than a decade, covering teachers, civil servants, border force staff, university lecturers, security guards and train drivers. It’s quite staggering that not only were 1m working days lost in December, the worst month since 1989, but some have admitted that it’s cost far more to keep the strikes going than make better pay offers. It’s also appalling that the media continues to collude with the Tory narrative, constantly alluding to ‘walkouts’ etc.

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But perhaps a worse threat to Sunak, insufficiently covered by the media in my view, is Boris Johnson’s narcissistic and potentially damaging freelancing in Ukraine and Washington. This grandstanding loose cannon has been meeting with various US politicians, spouting views which cannot have been approved by or run past the PM, eg, extraordinarily, that Ukraine should join the EU. There’s also the significant question as to who is paying for all this – it all adds to the impression of a weak prime minister unable to act. Another question is why this is even allowed given Johnson should be at home attending to his own constituents, many of whom have voiced extreme dissatisfaction and annoyance at his behaviour.

Boris Johnson continues to poison the body politic, with these ego-driven antics, threats of a comeback, the questions still hanging over the loan arrangements involving BBC Chair Richard Sharp (on which the media has gone very quiet) and the fact that the public will be paying huge amounts for his Partygate defence. It’s surely outrageous that not only will be public be paying a 6 figure amount, but that even more public money could be set aside to defend the charlatan. Why was this decision even made when Johnson is raking in huge amounts from public speaking engagements and the like?

‘Officials at the government’s spending watchdog are examining the controversial decision to provide £220,000 of taxpayers’ money to fund Boris Johnson’s legal defence for the inquiry into his Partygate denials. The National Audit Office (NAO) has yet to decide whether to mount a formal investigation, but one of its directors is planning to speak to the Cabinet Office about it. On top of the six-figure budget already established, sources have also indicated more money could be set aside to cover the former prime minister’s legal advice, given the privileges committee’s investigation could drag on into next month’.

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 ‘This is not how Mr Sunak hoped to be assessed on his 100thday at Number 10. He looks a terrible judge of character, incapable of mastering his government and untrue to his promise to restore “integrity, professionalism and accountability at every level”. The scandals keep coming and he seems incapable of stemming them. Under Boris Johnson, it was “one rule for everyone else and no rules for us”. Under Rishi Sunak, it appears to be plus ça change.

New prime minister, same old stink’.

Added to all this is the tanking economy, few Tories prepared to admit the Brexit factor, the UK’s position forecast during 2023 to be worse even than Russia. 

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Analyzing Sunak’s weakness, particularly in relation to his erstwhile boss, Rafael Behr identifies ‘Long Johnson’ as a key factor. ‘The Zahawi episode is a symptom of long Johnson, the chronic, recurrent debilitation of government by a pathogen that still circulates in the ruling party long after the original infection has been treated. Too many Tories have forgotten how urgent it was that they change their leader last summer. Despair at Johnson’s misrule was overwritten with panic when his successor turned out to be even worse, although Liz Truss won the leadership as the candidate of Borisite continuity. This, too, seems to be forgotten by the faction that hankers for restoration of the great bloviator’. Behr also focuses on the (increasingly dawning)  incriminating role played by top civil servant Simon Case, pointing up the way Sunak has so far avoided challenging Case on what he knew about certain key government figures and about the machinations around Johnson’s financial affairs, conflicts of interest and so on.

‘But if Sunak asked that sort of question he’d have to do something with the answer, which isn’t his style. He doesn’t want a detailed inquest into the probity of a regime in which he served for so long and to which a powerful Tory faction is stubbornly loyal. He can’t deliver integrity in government without naming the people who brought his party into disrepute. He is afraid to hold a postmortem on the reign of a leader whose career is far from dead. He should have finished it when he had the chance’.

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An integral part of this situation is the privilege and entitlement exhibited by our narrow ruling class, leading to the ‘rules are for little people’ attitude. Although we’ve been aware of this syndrome for a while, it’s nevertheless alarming to reflect on the extent the UK is governed by a series of longstanding intertwined cliques, consisting of the wealthy and privately educated who ensure the retention between themselves of the advantages accruing from this chumocracy.

One author, based on personal experience, explains how these cliques ‘cohere’: on arriving at Oxford from a state school education, he realised how the current elite generation ‘had already come into being, long before the relevant people had entered higher education. There have been two recurring themes in recent political history. Johnson crystallised a sense of rich and powerful people acting with assumed impunity; Sunak, the weak prefect, seems so accustomed to such behaviour that he can’t figure out how to stop it. But this story blurs into something even bigger: a chain of people safely bound into absurd networks of privilege have taken endlessly stupid decisions, knowing that their wealth and connections mean they will never have to worry about the consequences.

Even as Britain tumbles, this conversation has barely begun. It ought to start with a blunt acknowledgment: that there is no way out of this country’s morass of failure and sleaze until all those circles of power and entitlement are finally pushed aside’. As many may agree, it’s not just these circles that need pushing aside, it’s the current inadequate systems underpinning our so-called democracy including the one whereby parliamentarians are selected. In my view nothing short of constitutional reform is needed.

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But lo, on Saturday yet another problem for Sunak emerged following hints during the week, in the form of predecessor Liz Truss, rising like a phoenix from the ashes as she may imagine, to claim, with no hint of contrition, that she was brought down by a Left economic orthodoxy and that her plans had never been given a proper chance. And today loyal lieutenant ‘Sir’ John Redwood, long a public embarrassment, has been on the media claiming that the problem had been ‘mismanagement of the bond markets’. Surely the Sunday Telegraph has stooped to a new low in publishing her 4,000 word ‘essay’. A wag tweeted: ‘Two former failed Conservative prime ministers are mounting campaigns to replace the current failed Conservative prime minister, all of them shouting that voters will be convinced if only the right failed policies can be presented at the right volume’.

Added to all this is the tanking economy, few Tories prepared to admit the Brexit factor, the UK’s position forecast during 2023 to be worse even than Russia’s. We have to wonder whether (outside war time) this is the most serious set of challenges a PM has ever faced, the irony being that most of them are of Sunak’s own making.

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News that so far seems to have gone under the radar is a piece in the Bolton Times to the effect that the ‘watchdog’ (the so-called Independent Complaints and Grievance Scheme) has decided to discontinue its investigation of Tory MP Chris Pincher (the final catalyst triggering Boris Johnson’s downfall last summer) just because his alleged offences did not take place on the ‘parliamentary estate’. What nonsense. This matters for at least two reasons: the sheer volume of sleaze sticking to this Tory government and it demonstrating yet again the need for constitutional and parliamentary reform: 14 MPs, including Pincher, are operating without their party whips, when surely such situations should lead to by-elections.

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As the battle of the royals (or perhaps more accurately that between various courtier factions) continues in the lead up to the Coronation, it seems there’s an ongoing effort to big up the Prince and Princess of Wales, the latest silo being the launch of the Princess’s Shaping Us initiative. No, it’s not a new diet or brand of underwear. It aims to raise awareness of the importance of the child’s first five years in shaping their development and trajectory ever after. That this fact has been well-known for years doesn’t seem to have detracted from the initial hype, the Princess at one event sporting a glamorous red trouser suit and vertiginous heels. But the Princess was apparently criticised by a member an early years sector campaign group who said that raising awareness just isn’t enough. Good for them for speaking up as the same goes for so many mental health campaigns which urge us to ‘talk’ or ‘have a conversation’ about mental health, when the services to help people simply aren’t there on the NHS.

No doubt Harry and Meghan have also been busy planning their next moves and at the same time we hear that King Charles is planning to ensure a key role for them at his Coronation. But however this pans out, Charles is likely to face further difficulties caused by his disgraced brother, Andrew. We hear that Andrew  has been persuaded by the American lawyer who helped him previously to attempt to overturn the Giuffre judgement which had necessitated that huge payout and which further pushed him into the hinterland of royal life. As journalist Marina Hyde said: ‘…. a silent retirement for this lifelong self-saboteur would be in all interests, including his own. Charles doesn’t have long before important decisions have to be finalised about these issues.

Our mental wellbeing is naturally affected and put at risk by the prevalent feeling that nothing is working, the country is breaking down, etc, this echoed by the parlous state of much customer service, well described by Harry Wallop in The Times. Although he acknowledges they have their problems he’s not including the NHS or train network in his analysis but, personally, I would include them as so many anecdotes we hear cover the same ground. He says: ‘Have you noticed how ‘slightly rubbish’ many things are today? ….. I’m talking about ordinary businesses: banks, supermarkets, energy providers, call centres and so on’. He complains of such outfits still using Covid as an excuse to undercut customer service eg supermarkets and others dumping your delivery on the doorstep rather than bringing them inside as they used to, absurdly long waits for your calls to be answered, meanwhile hearing annoying ‘music’ or that perennial ‘your call is important to us….. we are experiencing heavy volumes of calls at present…’ etc. ‘And we’re still dogged by extra bureaucracy: council tips insist you book in advance, public art galleries and pools take your details (so they can send you spam). He acknowledges that companies had to reset how they did business during the pandemic but laments them sticking to this as ‘the new normal’. After 1.5 hours interacting with TalkTalk during the last fortnight, I couldn’t agree more, and this is just one example. Complaining seems fruitless, too, as so often we’re met with no reply or a defensive barrage of jargonesque blather.   

Finally, as we enter February and as our thoughts might be turning to organizing breaks and holidays, an interesting article on the increasingly used Airbnb suggests some degree of disillusionment. The author says that at one time, ‘it seemed an economical and adventurous alternative to a hotel. But I doubt I’ll be using it again’ because ‘it feels like staying with a cheap, uptight friend – then paying for the privilege’. Besides her own experience the author cites evidence from other Airbnb users, who have complained of ‘the obscene cost’, the long list of rules which must be followed (one instructing guests not to put drinks on the coffee table!), the need to bring your own basics like washing up liquid and loo paper etc and the heavily priced pre-cleaning not having been done properly. It’s a tricky one, as Airbnb does give a quality of privacy which hotels don’t, but they also markedly reduce housing stock available to local renters so there’s a moral dimension to this as well which could be overlooked. It will be interesting to see how this business model evolves, as it now seems the cons of using Airbnb are emerging as strongly as the pros.

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Sunday 22 January

As ever, it’s been a very busy fortnight in political circles, with plenty of interesting stuff in the social and economic fields as well, but a car crash interview on Saturday’s Today programme surely encapsulates the dire state of this government. Justice Minister (!) Dominic Raab was asked in no uncertain terms about the shocking Met Police conduct, the Nadhim Zahawi tax scandal (which the BBC is finally getting into after weeks of cowardly avoidance), Sunak’s failure to wear a seat belt and subsequent fine, and the eight allegations of bullying against Raab himself. It’s worth listening back to it (about 08.35 on Radio 4) to get the full impact of his pathetic responses, which twice saw him saying he was giving ‘everything I’ve got’ to resolving this or that issue. It’s striking that New Zealand’s PM Jacinda Arden is bowing out because she has ‘nothing left in the tank’, when numerous UK politicians don’t seem to recognise this in themselves, that is, if there was anything in those tanks to begin with. Raab came out with the usual tired and long disproved responses (eg about ‘bad apples’ in the Met when it’s over 800 officers being investigated), that Sunak had put his hand straight up (reassuring he wasn’t waving it around?), ‘we’re all human, we’re all fallible, he has an incredibly demanding job, people make mistakes’, and that Zawahi had paid his tax ‘in full and on time’ when he’d done nothing of the sort. As if only paying after having been caught out is ok, and to think this was promised to be a government of ‘Integrity, professionalism and accountability’.

Not only has Zahawi, party chairman and cabinet minister, avoided this tax, he had to pay a penalty on top of what he already owed, coming to an estimated £5m. And since the story broke he initially resisted to the hilt admission of culpability, choosing mostly to speak through ‘representatives’ and worse, trying to censor the media via his lawyers. It’s unfortunate that HMRC has publicly accepted the neutered version of this affair, that it had been a ‘careless’ mistake rather than a deliberate one, clearly having been leaned on to water down the impact. No thanks, as ever, to the collusive BBC, these misdemeanours only emerged through dogged investigation over months by the Independent and tax expert Dan Neidle, who posted a long thread on the chronology of this scandal, including the untruths his lawyers used to fob him off on multiple occasions. ‘If Zahawi has paid a penalty, it would be hugely embarrassing, given his previous role as chancellor in charge of the UK’s tax system. He has also been a member of a government that has made great efforts to ensure tax is paid in full and on time.

Labour said Zahawi should quit because his story “doesn’t add up”. Earlier this week, the party called for an inquiry into whether Zahawi broke the ministerial code or misled the public over his tax affairs’. Trouble is, we’ve seen many times that breaking of the ministerial code is not a sacking offence in this government. While Zahawi’s colleagues still plug the honest mistake line, other sources say he’s ‘fighting for his political life’. Sunak has tough questions to answer now about at what point he knew about this and what he now does about it.

Almost as much of a story, as it applies to so many other subjects, is the public broadcaster’s avoidance of it of it for so long, so that if you only get your news from this source like so many, you’d be none the wiser. This amounts to censorship via omission. As a commentator tweeted: ‘The Zahawi Tax Scandal broke last Sunday. Despite frequent requests to report on the Today hashtag, no reporting other than passing references in paper reviews was done until 3 days later. BBC News must endeavor to prioritise the public over antagonizing the sitting government’. But now we know why.

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But now we know why. As someone observed yesterday, Tory scandals don’t come solo but come along in twos and threes. No wonder the BBC wants to keep extra quiet It’s now been revealed The BBC chairman helped arrange a guarantee on a loan of up to £800k for Boris Johnson weeks before then PM selected him for the role. Johnson was told to end Richard Sharp’s involvement in his financial affairs by the Cabinet Office. The BBC job application says: “You cannot be considered for a public appointment if you fail to declare any conflict of interest” Candidates must disclose anything which could later undermine confidence in appointment but Sharp didn’t tell the panel. Apart from anything else this blows out of the window denials of BBC Tory bias we often hear.

A tweeter observed: ‘A former banker for JPMorgan, now chairman of the BBC appointed by then PM . Why was this allowed? His position is now untenable. Or is this going to be swept under the carpet? A tsunami of vice, nepotism & cronyism, each knowing their price, each selling their soul until we have nought’. Another pointed out the three key Tory influences in the BBC’s governance: ‘Chairman – Richard Sharp, Tory Party donor & Brexiteer, appointed after Johnson receives loan; DG – Tim Davie, former Deputy Chair of Fulham Tory Party….. and BBC news enforcer (Robbie Gibb), Brexiteer and ‘Tory apparatchik. Fair to say the BBC stinks’. At the time of writing neither Sharp nor Zahawi have resigned but some have suggested this could happen by the end of the day or if not, soon after.

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A key point about much of this is the deleterious effect on our mental health and wellbeing: so many I speak to say how much their sense of equilibrium and their sleep have been disturbed by the dreadful state the government has allowed the country to sink into and the corruption and incompetence being demonstrated on an almost daily basis. As one tweeter said: ‘How do we get them out? I feel absolutely desperate’. Quite a few of us are wondering how on earth we can get through the next two years until the next election. It wouldn’t make much difference to an already corrupt regime, but Sunak will be even less likely to sack those unfit for office as so many of his MPs, seeing the writing on the wall, are standing down at the next election and will therefore be less committed to supporting the government’s agenda.

As the NHS strikes continue and unions are no longer engaging with the ‘rigged’ pay review system, Sajid Javid is the latest Conservative attempting to drive the agenda towards privatisation: further, I should say, as (unbeknown to many) there have already been substantial private sector inroads into the NHS, facilitated by successive Tory administrations. He wants patients to be charged for GP and A&E visits, which apart from the additional bureaucracy that would involve, ignores the fact that we already pay (just not ‘at the point of use’). What a gaslighting nerve the man has. ‘The former health secretary said ‘extending the contributory principle’ should be part of radical reforms to tackle growing waiting times. In an opinion piece for the Times, he called for a ‘grown-up, hard-headed conversation’ about revamping the health service, noting that ‘too often the appreciation for the NHS has become a religious fervour and a barrier to reform’. The Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, is not “currently” considering the proposals, Downing Street told the newspaper’. I should hope not but it’s yet another Tory trailer for what could follow and so many of these people have financial interests in US health conglomerates it’s hard not to see the writing on the wall.

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On Saturday Radio 4 interviewed the head of NHS England, who managed to say little of substance for a good 20 minutes, clearly stepping very carefully to avoid criticism of the government whose policies have led to the current crisis. The interviewer asked the daft question as to when the NHS will ‘get back to normal’: the obvious answer is when it’s given sufficient funding, properly tackled its workforce problems (the NHS workforce plan has been long delayed) and addressed the need to reengineer its service to deal with unhelpful fragmentation. That is, probably never. Last Tuesday Channel 4 News devoted the entire programme to focusing on the NHS, speaking to numerous experts and practitioners, one of the most striking aspects was the absolute hopelessness of care minister Helen Whately, who looked suitably stressed while feebly trying to defend the government’s policies in the face of challenges from audience members (one nurse really sticking it to her) and Shadow Health Minister Wes Streeting.

At one point, when she’d run out of excuses, she just said ‘We are doing things…’ Most of the time she resorted to that politician’s trick of not answering the question, instead speaking in a faux impassioned way about how awful things are and how they need to be rectified. Questions were rightly asked as to why her boss, Steve Barclay, had not stepped up to this challenge rather than fielding this over-promoted ‘minister’.  Fortunately, Krishnan Guru-Murthy is a much braver and skilled presenter than many of his BBC counterparts and kept the programme going at a cracking pace.

Everyone now knows a major problem for hospitals is the difficulty in discharging the substantial number of patients who are fit enough to leave but there’s nowhere for them to go. But it’s complicated, as these key tweeted questions indicate:  ‘What patients going (rather than “being sent”) home from hospital are greeted by is vital. How much money has the NHS got to support it? And local authorities? What other organisations are involved? Which of these has not had its funding cut?’ The response to these and other questions is just the script trotted out about so many extra ‘care packages’ being funded now, though the sheer lack of capacity is not addressed.

Sunak and ministers continue to trot out cliches to explain away why the UK is ‘the sick man of Europe’, trying to blame the NHS crisis on the pandemic, flu and even the outgoing Labour government for the now 650k excess deaths a year. This is nothing short of culling. And in what looks like revenge for the health unions continuing with their industrial action, Barclay is cynically pitting patients against NHS staff by saying any extra payment for this year will be taken from existing budgets. In other words, if you can’t get your hip replaced for another year or two, don’t blame us, blame striking staff for demanding reasonable pay. It seems that the government just cannot believe that unions will continue their action as ministers see themselves as above the fray, making decisions unilaterally and are only just grasping that this is no longer the case. Imperiously refusing to negotiate (though they’re clearly devoid of those skills anyway) they resort to the blunt instrument of anti-strike legislation, which Business Secretary Grant Shapps has disingenuously said exists in other countries, except it doesn’t in anywhere near the same proposed form. Meanwhile, it looks as if 1 February is shaping up to be a day of coordinated strike action, a general strike in all but name.

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Another thing Grant Shapps would not have told us is that the intention is to pass an enabling act, so that ministers can define the sector, the circumstances, the service criteria and the punishment for a strike, without scrutiny by MPs. This is dangerous ground and a further attack on democracy. It will be interesting to see how this bill fares in the Lords.

In recent weeks there’s been much attention focused on the often lamentable and robotic performance of Rishi Sunak, whether it’s at Prime Minister’s Questions or when he’s out and about, repeatedly in denial of his government’s appalling mismanagement of the country, forever dodging questions, failure to sack inadequate and/or dishonest colleagues (yes, I know, who would he have left?) and making one PR gaffe after another, the latest being what’s been called Seatbeltgate. Not to mention his embarrassingly bad ‘political broadcast’ containing five pledges, most of which commentators pointed out had no targets on which to judge success and which would occur anyway (eg inflation coming down). I thought it was notable that he said so emphatically, inviting us to judge him on these pledges, ‘I will NOT let you down’ when he already has, umpteen times. The latest embarrassment is his ‘levelling up’ splash (funny, that, as the Times reported this week that MPs in marginal seats were instructed to call it ‘stepping up’ or even ‘gauging up’ instead, suggesting that the whole charade has been acknowledged as such), when it’s been shown that twice as many Tory constituencies have benefited as Labour ones (including his own, of course, to the tune of £19m!), that millions have been wasted on consultancy to write the bids in the first place, and that what areas get back is a fraction of what’s been taken away from them in local government grants. It’s pork barrel politics.

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There was also the little matter of Sunak taking three RAF jets within a week, justifying this when challenged by citing his schedule: ‘I’m not travelling around just for my own enjoyment – although this is very enjoyable, of course. I’m travelling around so I can talk to people in Accrington this morning, then I’ve talked to you, then I’m going to get over to Hartlepool because I’m working on all of your behalf’. I’m sure we’re all hugely comforted that Rishi is working on our behalf as to many it won’t feel like it.

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Yet another scandal surfaced recently, that is the revelations emanating from investigative work by Sky News and Tortoise Media (predictably not the BBC) to produce the Westminster Accounts, which detail what donations politicians are receiving and from what sources. These are not consistently (if at all) entered in the register of MPs interests. Perhaps not surprisingly, Conservative Sir John Redwood came in fifth, earning £692,438 with the majority coming from his ‘global strategist’ role at investment firm Charles Stanley but it’s quite shocking to see how extensive this syndrome is right across the political board. The heads of news at Sky and Tortoise say: ‘Without greater transparency, money risks influencing our politics in the dark, it’s time to check who is paying our politicians and to ask why. More than £183m has flowed into the British political system during this Parliament, straight from wealthy individuals or companies, and into the bank accounts of political parties, all-party parliamentary groups, and the campaign funds and constituencies of government ministers and MPs from all political parties. Whilst the UK ranks towards the bottom of global corruption indexes, the way that information about MPs’ outside earnings and who is ultimately funding our politics is published has – for far too long – hindered understanding’. You can check to see how your own MP has benefited. Or not.

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At the same time, Partygate is not going away, the original investigator, ITV’s Paul Brand, having produced a podcast series about it. ‘Now in this seven-episode podcast series our multiple-award-winning journalist can finally take you inside Number 10 to reveal the full story. Along with exclusive interviews and never-before-aired details of our investigation, you’ll hear directly from several of our whistleblowers and sources, who were instrumental in helping us expose the truth’. Partygate: the Inside Story could do pretty well in the podcast ratings and is especially relevant considering that Johnson is yet to be judged by the Standards and Privileges Committee as to whether he deliberately misled Parliament. 

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There have rightly been questions (and some journalists followed him around trying to get answers, to no avail) as to why Johnson had gone to Davos, the glossy World Economic Forum jolly, as if he’s still in a position of power, and who paid for his attendance. The number of suits and those arriving in private jets makes it seem like something from another planet, but apparently some important issues were discussed, including the likely future direction of China, the role of artificial intelligence and whether we are on the brink of another debt crisis.

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Yet another story not going away is that of Prince Harry and the Royal Family: despite the predictions of naysayers and much bile spewing from the right wing media, Harry’s book, Spare, performed better than any other non-fiction book in recent times and many of those who’ve taken the trouble to read it (as opposed to coasting by on selected media clips) have a positive view of it, despite perhaps feeling that some revelations should have been left out. While the Palace continues its longstanding stance of not commenting (how long can this continue in the 21st century?), there seems to have been some attempt at royal whitewashing in the news of Charles donating to the Treasury the profits of wind farms on ‘his’ land. Many have commented that this is not that big a deal, considering the king’s wealth, and it seems a huge coronation is planned (the State to pay), not the slimmed down one discussed some months ago. Meanwhile, we hear (he never gives up and accepts responsibility, does he?) that Prince Andrew is seeking to overturn the Giuffre judgement and is after a public apology, as a precursor, he fantasizes, to re-entering royal life. So it’s not only Harry unhappy about the pressure from other royal family members: ‘Andrew reportedly thinks he was “bounced” into not fighting the case against Ms Giuffre by his own family, who wanted to avoid even more negative publicity.“He never wanted to make a deal and has always insisted he is innocent,” a source said. This could run and run, another story King Charles won’t want in the run up to his coronation. Yet again these issues beg questions about the future of the monarchy in this country.

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In a well balanced article (for a change given the polarised debate about the royals) there’s a reasoned argument for questioning the current model instead of the blind reverence found in many quarters. ‘The clearest solution would be the republican settlement we ultimately favour. In the meantime, however, an enormous chance is being missed to reshape Britain’s constitutional monarchy for the post-Elizabeth age. There is responsibility to share here too. King Charles and his inward-looking circle deserve some of it. The danger is that Britain’s 21st-century monarchy is being defined ad hoc by an elite consisting of a palace clique and an overly deferential governing culture’.

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When things look especially bad in the UK, ministers are often keen to point out how difficult other countries are finding the cost of living, pressured health services, and so on, but what they omit, of course, is these countries have generally much healthier and able governments than ours. I thought it was cheering to read that Spain’s left wing government is offering free travel across the country’s public transport network, extended until December this year. It’s reckoned that this could save families up to 3,000 euros a year. But that’s not all: the government has also reduced VAT on foodstuffs from 4% to 0% and given a one-off payment of 200 euros to all households with an income of less than 27,000 euros a year. What’s not to like?

I wonder if the ‘basic foodstuffs’ cited above includes olive oil. For those old enough to remember how this oil was only available in a tiny bottle from the chemist, we could be returning to that set up given complaints about the inflated cost of oil in supermarkets. As someone who’s never subscribed to the habit of ‘drizzling’ olive oil on every dish, it doesn’t affect me that much but it will affect many, not to mention the restaurants using bucketloads of the stuff.

Finally, as someone with a longstanding interest in wine, I think it’s great news that the sauvignon blanc of a Cotswolds vineyard, Woodchester Valley, has been hailed as one of the best in the world by a panel of expert judges. It even beat the usual serious competition from New Zealand, Austria and Greece to win the top prize in the £20-£30 category at the Global Sauvignon Blanc Masters. It’s the first English still wine to have won a Master medal in this competition. It’s a shame about the price but UK wines tend to be consistently higher in price because of lower yields and so on. It will be interesting to see how this wine fares if submitted for other competitions, as British wines are increasingly well rated by international judges.

Sunday 8 January 2023

In the circumstances saying Happy New Year to all sounds somewhat hollow so I’ll settle for very best wishes for 2023. Over the years we’ve got used to various ‘Twixmas’ and New Year occurrences, some of them proving irritating, if not infuriating, bah humbug (or whatever the New Year equivalent is). One is the numerous Christmas and New Year greetings from retailers and service providers, which clog up our inboxes (does anyone appreciate them when they’re simply a reminder to buy something?). Another is the grandstanding and vacuous seasonal addresses from politicians including the disgraced Boris Johnson and another is the tradition on Radio 4 to invite guest editors, some of the choices being incomprehensible. One day it was ‘Lord’ Ian Botham, who came in for a lot of flak due to what many found his unacceptable views on Brexit and other issues; at least we had Jamie Oliver and Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe on other days.

Perhaps the biggest heart sink at this time of year is the farce of New Year’s Honours: yes, some are deserved but not the ones for those just doing their jobs eg civil servants and especially Tory donors. The more honours of this kind we have (and it’s possible the nominations from Boris Johnson and Liz Truss will be accepted) the more the entire system is brought into disrepute. Some of these honours are peerages and I agree with Andrew Rawnsley who, in the Observer, contradicted the apologists’ line that no one would invent the Lords ‘but it kind of works’. ‘Complacent nonsense – the Lords doesn’t work and must be fixed…. If the chaotic premierships of Boris Johnson and Liz Truss proved anything, it’s that the upper house provides no adequate check on rubbish laws and unconstitutional behaviour’. He goes on to point out how ‘embarrassing’ it is that while the US manages with 100 senators, Britain’s upper chamber has over 800. Absurd and also important to remember is that these people get a very generous attendance payment while often making zero contribution. You’d think they’d be more careful with cameras in the Chamber, though: a recent viewing of Lords proceedings on the Parliament channel revealed at least two asleep.

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And don’t get me started on New Years Resolutions, a topic which, as ever, gives rise to a lot of column inches and media chat. While they may work for some, it’s quite possible and more helpful to set intention at any time, not using the start of a new year as an artificial deadline which often leads to failure. These days there’s often a cynical backdrop to it as well, given the number of ‘invitations’ to purchase some app or course.

What must be on everyone’s mind as we enter 2023 is the unavoidable evidence of this country grinding to a halt due to ongoing industrial action in numerous sectors which the government is doing little to resolve. Adding to the workers in various sectors taking action, we could be looking at a junior doctors’ strike very soon, too. The Lib Dems demanded that Parliament be recalled to debate this situation, a call naturally not heeded by the AWOL government, because rather than resolve these disputes, they want to prolong them as part of their ideological battle against the public sector. This is particularly the case with the NHS, so that a further run down service will justify shutting it down and privatising the lot – a long term Tory ambition.

Three aspects of this intractable situation are now clear: that the union leaders involved are bright, focused and determined to fight for members’ pay and working conditions, usually running rings round government and media people they engage with; that ministers hiding behind ‘independent’ pay review bodies and employers doesn’t work as we now know politicians have set the parameters for these bodies and have also prevented employers making offers; and the tired old Tory schtick that there isn’t ‘a bottomlesspit of taxpayers’ money’ doesn’t hold water now we see how much public money their corrupt mismanagement of the economy has seen off and how well paid they themselves are. Not to mention their additional expenses and access to subsidised bars and restaurants in Westminster.

On Tuesday’s Radio 4 Today programme, Transport Minister Mark Harper three times sidestepped Nick Robinson’s challenge about the government tying the hands of employers, who then cannot freely negotiate. Another point made is that the talk of reforming inefficient working methods on the railways is much to do with health and safety: driver only trains would be unsuitable and unsafe for any passenger needing help. Not to mention that Parliament has seen no need to modernise its own archaic working practices! RMT leader Mick Lynch said: “The executives who run the industry day on day are in despair at what the government is making them say in these talks’, that the government was ‘out of  its depth’ and reminded us that pay is only part of the dispute: ‘This is about the way our members are deployed, their work-life balance – if we don’t defend those conditions we will end up like all the gig economy workers, all the low-paid and vulnerable people in our society’.

Radio 4 Today presenter Amol Rajan got no easier a time interviewing ASLEF leader Mick Whelan on Thursday: on his Tory-framed challenge of reduced ‘productivity’ on the railways not deserving pay raises, it was pointed out that the government had made no effort to get people en masse back on trains following the pandemic. A wag also pointed out that Amol’s considerable BBC salary was not expected to drop despite the marked decline in Today programme listener numbers.

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The government, being incapable of intelligent, nuanced thinking and negotiation, predictably resorts to the blunt instrument of legislation to quell industrial action. Although this will take time to be passed and implemented, the writing is on the wall, as it’s been for some time given other repressive legislation. The legislation will aim to enforce ‘minimum service levels’ in six sectors, including the health service, rail, education, fire and border security, described as a terrible cheek by one NHS expert when ministers themselves don’t demonstrate any minimum service level. It’s not surprising that despite the bias of our mostly right wing media, a YouGov/Times poll found that 17% who voted Conservative in 2019 say they plan to vote for Nigel Farage’s Reform UK Party at the next election.

https://tinyurl.com/2mnbwfxd

Some have argued that the pay rises could have been funded by clawing back more of what’s proved irrecoverable from fraudulent Covid grants (£1bn), not to mention the eye watering amounts wasted on the crony contracting VIP lane during Covid. ‘The expected losses amount to 8.4% of all grants distributed via the small business grants fund (SBGF), the retail, hospitality and leisure business grants fund (RHLGF), and the local authority discretionary grants fund (LADGF). In total £11.7bn was handed out in 2020-21…. Gareth Davies, the head of the National Audit Office, which scrutinises how well government spends public money, said just 0.4% of all the “estimated irregular payments” paid out in grants by local councils had been recovered’. But a key problem seems to be delays by the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (Beis) in completing ‘planned assurances exercises’, leading to less being recovered because by then two to three years had passed since the grants were awarded. Needless to say, the government issued a defensive statement: ‘We’re continuing to crack down on Covid support scheme fraud and will not tolerate those who seek to defraud consumers and taxpayers’.

https://tinyurl.com/yscvfvya

From the continuing ideological intransigence to the refusal to recall Parliament last week, the government has shown zero sense of urgency about resolving the problems besetting the country and worrying many of us. But something must be filtering through the thick skins because on Friday afternoon Sunak had the nerve to invite union leaders for ‘grown-up, honest talks’ on Monday – immediately criticised by Mick Lynch for patronising language. It will be interesting to see how that works out.  

Besides the predictable elements of a new year discussed above, we also now have a PR battle between the party leaders to observe. It almost beggars belief that Rishi Sunak was so concerned at Keir Starmer getting in first with his key policy speech that he rushed to deliver his own and in the same venue! Having already come out with his crisis deflecting wheeze about pupils having to study maths up the age of 18, we were then invited to judge him on the outcomes of five pledges, in which the NHS wasn’t even cited first and which carried no targets or timescales so how could anything be judged? (It’s anyway a bit late for this ‘invitation’ because most of us will have judged him long ago – we don’t need anything else).

Sceptics immediately pointed out that at least three of his five undertakings (to tackle the national debt, reduce inflation and cut the NHS waiting list) would happen anyway regardless of any action of his. It was also suggested that (major news from the Royal College of Emergency Medicine this week which NHS Providers CEO Chris Hopson disappointingly tried to deny) the waiting list would reduce as a result of the 500 a week dying as a result of A&E failures. One commentator was concerned at the poor quality of and lack of inspiration in Sunak’s speech. ‘If a CEO presented this to his Board, it would be thrown out. It is such a basic, bland and obvious list that, if delivered, keeps us in the lower quartile of high performing nations. We deserve and are capable of so much better’.

If it wasn’t so worrying and tragic, John Crace’s withering analysis could be found amusing. ‘Rish spoke breathlessly and earnestly. And vacuously. If this wasn’t quite a suicide note it was at least a draft resignation letter. For it turned out he had almost nothing to say – nothing of substance – and could only offer a few vague promises. Much like an over-apologetic supply teacher. It was desperate stuff. His words dying on his lips. Lost in the aether.

‘Thanks to the prime minister and the genius idea nobody asked for, people will be able to calculate just how broke they are… So something must be done to head off the Labour leader. A room in east London booked. Preferably somewhere near where Starmer was due to speak the following day. Anything to take control of the narrative. Even if no one really had a clue what the narrative really was. This was about process not substance. Politics as performative arts. Politics at its most meta’.

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The shadow health secretary, Wes Streeting, said he found it “completely inexplicable” as to why neither Sunak nor Barclay “has raised their head or shown their face to say exactly what they are doing to grip this crisis and to support patients and those staff who are working in intolerable conditions and busting a gut against the most extraordinary pressures”. It comes to something when so many, feeling hopeless about seeing a GP, are resorting to ‘DIY medicine’ ‘Almost one in four people have bought medicine online or at a pharmacy to treat their illness after failing to see a GP face to face, according to a UK survey underlining the rise of do-it-yourself treatment. Nearly one in five (19%) have gone to A&E seeking urgent medical treatment for the same reason, the research commissioned by the Liberal Democrats shows’.  Such difficulties can also lead to an increase in patients being exploited by quackery.

As per usual there was the usual meaningless, number spinning response from the Department of Health and Social Care. ‘We recognise the pressures GPs are under and are working to increase access for patients. Guidance is clear that GP practices must provide face-to-face appointments alongside remote consultations – and over two-thirds of appointments in November were face to face’.

https://tinyurl.com/49nex5d9

Still on the NHS, we often hear the view that too many managers is the problem. Not so, says The Times. ‘Our health service is actually under-managed… as a percentage of its economy, Britain spends a third as much on managing health as France and Germany do and the Institute of Fiscal Studies attributes declining ‘productivity’ to a lowering of the ratio of managers to front line staff. NHS trusts often recruit allegedly top flight CEOs at considerable cost, but last year’s review of NHS leadership found that it’s the middle managers who play the crucial role in enabling staff to do their jobs. ‘Far from being villains, they’re a resource we undervalue at our peril’.

https://tinyurl.com/5fwc4my6

During the last week we’ve heard a lot (far too much, some are saying) about the US House of Representatives being hobbled by its inability to appoint a Speaker. After a dramatic few days of making so many concessions that he could already feel considerably weakened, the controversial Republican Kevin McCarthy has finally been elected.Although McCarthy has successfully won the speakership, he now faces the considerable challenge of attempting to govern with an unruly conference and a slim majority. The dynamics of the House Republican conference could make it much more difficult to advance must-pass legislation, such as a government spending package or a debt ceiling hike’.

https://tinyurl.com/2m2tfuuk

Back in the UK, it was astonishing to hear our own Speaker, Sir Lindsay Hoyle, comment on declining respect for politics and democracy, given the parliamentary events of recent times, when he is very weak in his role and has repeatedly failed to challenge misrepresentations and avoidances during Prime Minister’s Questions, for example. ‘He described the experience of a “bizarre” revolving door of ministers in the Commons, saying “we never knew who was going to be at the dispatch box….The only thing that was the continuity of parliament was myself. You know, we were running out of ministers, you couldn’t believe it. I’ve never seen anything like it. As I say, when you talk to historians, you talk to senior politicians, nobody has ever seen anything like it before,” Hoyle said’. Such a lack of self-awareness and abdication of responsibility ill befits someone in such a key role. And yet another reason for constitutional and parliamentary procedure reform.

https://tinyurl.com/2m2tfuuk

The media frenzy around Prince Harry ahead of ITV’s documentary on Sunday night and the publication of his book next week shows no signs of abating. Cue a bloated retinue of parasitic ‘royal correspondents’ and commentators throwing in their pompous and sycophantic views, the latest example being Jonathan Dimbleby on Radio 4, a long term friend of King Charles and monarchy apologist. A most disgusting example of  this pro-monarchist framing was Sarah Vine on Radio 4’s Broadcasting House this morning, rudely dismissing Harry and saying ‘he speaks the language of young people, mental health and all that’ – contemptible and typically not challenged by the presenter.

Public opinion continues to be polarised regarding Harry/Meghan and the royals, but there’s fault on both sides. We have to wonder, though, how long the Palace (and now the army) will keep up their longstanding imperious refusal to comment on what are incendiary allegations. Harry has said he wants a family, not an institution, accountability and a ‘summit’ before the Coronation: good luck with that as it seems very unlikely there will be any concessions. Shockingly, perhaps, the institution of monarchy is coming first whatever the cost and the royals are determined to cling onto it.  

But how much are they being manipulated by their courtiers and comms teams? Quite a bit, it seems. Perhaps the central allegation, so far without response, is that they leaked and planted negative stories against Harry and Meghan to the press. There’s been quite a bit of grumbling about too much royal coverage in the media but some are missing the point: the issues may have been trivialised by the Establishment media but they’re important, to do with the future of the monarchy, which now has far less public support than it did. The undeniable fact is that Harry has now blown the lid off several Pandora’s Boxes, which those with a vested interest in maintaining the secrecy (and the power imbalance it leads to) are very uncomfortable with. We should set this in the context of the forthcoming Coronation, which King Charles, despite his considerable wealth, has not offered to pay for himself despite the massive cost of living crisis. We cannot afford to ignore the contrast between the hugely expensive gilded cage occupied by an extended Royal Family (not slimmed down like many European ones) and the many who are struggling to survive. It will be interesting (if we can bear it) to see reactions to the ITV documentary this evening.

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Further to previous pieces in this blog, the issue of the ‘economically inactive’ (quite a stigmatising label) continues to occupy column inches and discussions and the government (plus some commentators) have tried to blame them for undermining the economy, depriving the Treasury of tax revenue, stoking inflation and so on. Apart from this being a clear projection of the blame attaching mostly to the government, this guilt tripping is likely to be fruitless because there’s been little effort to understand the various reasons so many in their 50s and 60s (630,0000) have left the workforce, let alone do anything much about it. A major cause identified is illness, many on the now 7.2m NHS waiting list and quite a few suffering from Long Covid but for others it’s a mix of caring responsibilities, lack of childcare, a decision to claim some freedom from unrewarding work and incompetent and/or bullying managers and wanting (and feeling they could then afford) more leisure time.

According to an article in the Financial Times called The real reason Britain isn’t working, a hugely overlooked factor is the significant decline in employee autonomy in recent years, and it’s well known that having some control over our work (and lives in general) is essential to our mental wellbeing. The author alludes to tighter deadlines, shorter breaks and higher expectations, all of which lead to work stress besides the other conditions imposed by gig economy jobs. It’s reckoned that during the last 30 years, the percentage of employees feeling they have some autonomy at work has almost halved, and could get worse due to the UK having ‘relatively few labour market protections’….. If we want a healthy country, we need to stop trying to push people into jobs that make them sick’. This begs a deeper question: why (besides the declining autonomy factor) are so many jobs ones that make people sick?

The government has a pilot coaching scheme to get people back to work but I wonder how well thought out this is and is it anything more than a piecemeal bite at something that needs much more input? How many will be enticed by the ‘mid-life MOT’ being pioneered in some job centres? Several journalists have written about this subject and suggest what’s needed, including local access to training and job support and employers taking more responsibility to offer job security and flexible working. A number of those in this category have written to the press, one highly qualified PA/administrator saying she’s applied for so many jobs and got nowhere, leaving her baffled as to just what employers want. From other accounts one hears, it seems far too much for the pay they’re prepared to offer.

The current situation is just the start, though: the Financial Times rightly points out that with ‘baby boomers set to retire in droves in the next few years, finding people to fill vacancies is only going to get harder…one way or another, we need to entice the ‘missing’ back to work’. And that’s the operative word: they need enticing, not coercing, so the measures developed must go way beyond what this government has shown its level of operating to be – well thought out , workable and helpful. Workers want to be treated as people, not just units of work delivering tax and national insurance contributions. 

https://tinyurl.com/42kd6uvw

Finally, although this interesting news is a few weeks old now, it’s perhaps worth flagging up that around 50 products and customs are in line to be added by Unesco to the already 600 strong list of ‘human treasures’: they include the French baguette (which caused delight in France), Japan’s ritual furyu-odori dances, a cold North Korean noodle dish called naengmyeon, Pyrenean bear festivities and Kun L’bokator, the traditional martial arts of Cambodia….. Other contenders include Georgia’s traditional equestrian games, the Maghreb hot chilli-pepper paste known as harissa, Serbia’s šljivovica plum brandy, oral camel-calling in Saudi Arabia and Oman, and a central Asian lute called the Rubāb’. It’s great that these ‘human treasures’ are recognised but we do have to wonder what Unesco and the countries they hail from are doing to publicise them….

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24 December

As happy a Christmas as possible to all readers! These are busy days for many but you may perhaps have time to peruse this mini blog post while basting that turkey or nut roast, when grabbing a crafty snifter while peeling those spuds, or during the post-lunch/dinner slump! Recently transport minister Mark Harper was trying, in view of the multiple strikes, to prepare us for ‘a virtual Christmas’, cynically trying to pitch the public against the unions by invoking the lockdown Christmas, but it seems that most who wanted to have managed to travel, except the unwell ones. Best wishes to them for a speedy recovery. So, given what some are calling a General Strike in all but name (Sky News, the Guardian and other media have a useful matrix showing who’s on strike when), perhaps we should count ourselves lucky to be having any kind of Christmas!

It seems Mark Harper expects us to count ourselves lucky that the government has made its ‘biggest ever intervention’ to keep rail fare rises below inflation, condemned as a sick joke by Labour, as fares in England, already sky high, will rise by 5.9% in March. Commentators have pointed out the contrast between these rises, deterring people from using rail, and how road and air transport are treated – fuel duty was cut and fuel on domestic flights remains untaxed.

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What’s gone under the radar somewhat is how much the government is spending (of hallowed ‘taxpayers’ money’) in order to maintain the strikes and the ideological intransigence underpinning ministers’ stance. Army personnel are being paid extra to stand in for striking workers, a shameful intervention and something they could well feel aggrieved about. The Telegraph reports having been told that the military believes it is ‘not right’ for soldiers, who are banned by law from striking themselves, to replace striking public sector workers over the festive season. In addition, senior members of the Armed Forces are understood to have also warned ministers that the plan risks weakening the ‘operational capability’ of the military to respond to threats.

In a related issue, Labour had to use FOI to uncover how much the NHS was spending to compensate for its staffing crisis. English NHS trusts paid £3bn to agencies for staff during 2021-22, 20% more than in the previous year and as much as £5,200 a shift for agency doctors. ‘In addition, trusts spent £6bn on so-called bank staff – NHS professionals paid to carry out temporary shifts, including employees looking for extra work’. Economist Richard Murphy commented on the failed economic policy: ‘….the obvious reason why the UK’s economic performance is relatively poor despite austerity…The simple fact is that the deliberate undermining of our public services has undermined our national economy and well-being. And if we want to improve either nothing will work until we invest in fully staffed, well paid and properly valued public service’. This is exactly what the government does not wish to do because of its ideological obsession with small State.

https://tinyurl.com/3vyav87v

Last week, ahead of the ambulance workers’ strike, we were absurdly told not to ‘do anything risky’, which junior health minister Will Quince, during an interview, seemed to think included driving one’s car. The government tries to spin their intransigence and refusal to sit down with the unions as being ‘resolute’ in the face of pressure from ‘union barons’, when the unions involved are not even affiliated to the Labour Party, while wheeling out the tired old discredited schtick about ‘accepting in full the recommendations of the independent pay review body’, when it’s now well known that these bodies are not independent. Although the Tory bias in many Radio 4 presenters is clear to see, Mishal Husain did very well on 21st December, keeping Health Secretary Steve Barclay under pressure throughout and showing (he did not even know the answer) that the government had four times not accepted recommendations of a pay review body, thereby proving that the current immovable position adopted is not consistent. And this, of course, reveals the current stance as unjustifiable. It’s surprising that despite this admirable foot in the door of the government’s script, Rishi Sunak keeps going robotically round the same track, gaslighting the public about the risks to patient safety being due to militant unions etc.

Others have no doubt where responsibility lies. Two major health service organizations, the NHS Confederation and NHS Providers, have told the PM of the ‘deep worry among NHS leaders about the level of harm and risk that could occur to patients tomorrow and beyond…We’ve rarely heard such strong and urgent expressions of concern from those running our hospitals, ambulance services and other vital health services. The fear of NHS leaders is that the risk to patients is only going to get worse with future strikes planned. That is, unless your government is able to reach agreement with the trade unions to bring a swift end to the dispute. We urge you to do all you can to bring about an agreed solution, otherwise more members of the public will suffer unnecessarily’.

Can the PM and ministers really remain deaf to such a powerful message from people who know what they’re talking about? Ok, it’s Christmas, but they can’t afford to completely switch off. Also, it’s not just the risks we mostly hear about, it’s the appalling rise in excess deaths (those non-Covid deaths which are above the seasonal norm) due to service cuts and failing NHS and social care services, a phenomenon which often goes under the radar. Statistician David Spiegelhalter and Royal College of Emergency Medicine president Adrian Boyle recently said this figure was 900 per week: this is over 100 people dying younger than they should every day, ‘because social care and the NHS are starved’.

 It’s struck me that one of the unspoken elements of the current situation is that ministers feel superior to union leaders, not seeing them as equals, when it’s increasingly clear that these leaders are highly intelligent and experienced people who, especially in the case of Mick Lynch, run rings around all their opponents. Besides the political intransigence, fear of these leaders getting the better of them will be a further deterrent to ministers meeting the unions.

As Rishi Sunak unwittingly continues to disprove his trumpeted mission of leading a government of ‘integrity, professionalism and accountability’, one of the latest decisions being to appoint ‘a veteran banker’ to the position of Ethics Adviser (one who, again, cannot initiate his own investigations so pretty useless), more commentators focus on the Prime Minister’s robotic manner and lack of impact. ‘Rishi Sunak is a conundrum. Schrödinger’s prime minister. The more you see of him, the less there appears to be. A man who doesn’t much care about anything. A man so rich he can afford not to be seen to even care about his wealth. His beliefs dictated by a Goldman Sachs training manual. The country just an intellectual playground for him. Its people just problems to be solved. Preferably with a PowerPoint presentation. He is a man without emotional affect. Either dead or empty inside. Or just completely disconnected’.

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An example of his tone-deaf behaviour is his ‘excruciating’ interaction with a homeless man at a soup kitchen, where the photo call had the PM dishing up breakfast. ‘After a brief exchange he asked the man whether he worked in business. The man replied that he was homeless. Sunak then discussed his background in the finance industry and, with a great sense of priorities, asked if it would be something the man would ‘like to get in to’. The man replied: “I wouldn’t mind, but I don’t know, I’d like to get through Christmas first.” Sunak used the trip to outline that the government had pledged £2bn to tackle homelessness and rough sleeping over three years’. As this faux pas trends on Twitter, former chief prosecutor Nazir Afzal observed: ‘When you’ve never met real people and understood their lives then you’re the kind of person that asks a homeless person if he “works in business”.

Perhaps some awareness of his flagging popularity has prompted the latest move, again demonstrating a conflict of interest. The PM has appointed as political secretary (whose job it is toensure that ‘Downing Street, the policy teams and MPs are more united as Britain heads towards the next election) James Forsyth, who is the Spectator political editor, Times columnist and Sunak’s friend. A key question must then be whether he will have the guts to point out and prevent missteps, assuming he can spot them coming in the first place. Remember Sunak challenging his party during the leadership contest: Unite or Die? The Conservative Party is definitely not united so this is a key policy area to focus on over the next year, assuming he lasts that long. ‘Sunak and Forsyth are now expected to focus on a series of issues that can unite the party and prove popular with the country as the election approaches. The plan has already seen Sunak focus on trying to reduce small boats crossing the Channel. He is also expected to focus on reducing the NHS backlog, improving the poorest performing hospitals, and improving technical education as the UK struggles with labour shortages’. Good luck with that, because these are all long-term projects demanding effective planning and nuanced thinking, not qualities this cynical and short-termist government has more than a passing acquaintance with.

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Meanwhile, some are still pining (and plotting) for ‘Boris’ to return, seeming to believe that he can yet save them from political extinction. Again, good luck with that, because his constituents have finally woken up to his outrageous absenteeism due to frequent long holidays and delivering of lucrative speeches. It also beggars belief that Johnson wrote in the Spectator that he was on a ‘career hiatus’ despite remaining MP for a seat of more than 110,000 people. Nothing else quite shows the level of contempt this disgraced individual has for parliamentary procedure.  ‘Residents in Boris Johnson’s seat say they feel abandoned by their part-time MP, with the ousted Prime Minister appearing largely absent since leaving office. One Tory voter told Byline Times that Mr Johnson had been away for longer than Matt Hancock’s controversial ‘I’m a Celebrity’ appearance in Australia’. Not only that but the speech delivery has broken the ministerial code once more: ‘The high-paying gigs breach instructions from revolving-door regulator Acoba that he must not work for the Harry Walker Agency for at least three months after leaving office – a cooling-off period meant to avoid conflicts of interest’. 

As the controversy over Boris Johnson’s resignation honours continue and we brace ourselves for the imminent New Years honours, the discredited system is brought further into disrepute by revelations (no surprise there) that chairs of honours committees have been leaned on to accept nominations of Tory donors and others. Those not complying were let go. ‘Current and former members of the government’s honours committees have said they faced pressure from Downing Street to reward Tory donors, and that if they failed to comply with requests they were informed their services were no longer required, an investigation by Channel 4 News has revealed… Earlier this month Dame Louise Casey, chair of the community and voluntary service committee which awards the majority of honours, told the Cabinet Office, in an email seen by Channel 4 News, that she had concerns about ‘politicalisation’ of the system. It’s appalling and such a pity that the well-deserved honours are mixed up with all these others and (incomprehensible to me) career civil servants.

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Between Christmas and 2nd January is the period during which Radio 4’s Today programme invites guest editors to take the reins. Some are great choices but we have to wonder about some of the others Every year I ask why they don’t ask regular listeners to do this: of course they’re mostly not famous but I believe their efforts would be equally interesting to listen to. This year we have Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, ABBA’s Björn Ulvaeus, Jamie Oliver, Lord Ian Botham, Sir Jeremy Fleming (head of GCHQ), Dame Sharon White (chair of the John Lewis Partnership), and technologist Anne-Marie Imafidon.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-63777454

Finally, we hear much about how Brexit and other pressures are negatively affecting businesses and their capacity to export, but there’s a cheering example of one company which has bucked that trend. Tunnock’s, the Scottish family-run purveyor of ‘teacakes’, reported a 27% increase in sales to ‘a record’ £72.1m, due mostly to booming exports. For southerners, this isn’t a teacake as you know it: it’ssoft marshmallow on a biscuit base fully coated in real milk chocolate’. Have they cracked the secret of post-Brexit paperwork?? I think we should be told!

Best wishes to all for Christmas and the New Year.

Sunday 11 December

As ever, a fortnight is a long time in politics and for its psychological consequences. As we approach the festive season we’re having to contend with arctic temperatures, a deepening cost of living crisis and a prime minister who is surely on the ropes given the number of challenges he is facing but not resolving. The worst of these must be the strikes taking place in so many areas (border officials, postal service, NHS (nurses and ambulance staff), education and transport) that it’s no wonder General Strike is trending on Twitter. The appalling gaslighting the government is resorting to is a sure fire sign of their unease and faltering confidence in their intransigent stance: this week alone saw Nadhim Zawahi (who has form in this) suggesting that strikers are ‘playing into Putin’s hands’ by causing further inflation and Jeremy Hunt asking workers not to ‘jeopardise Britain’s recovery’ by taking industrial action. Oh and Zahawi also played the timing industrial action at Christmas card.

The intransigent government stance consists of refusing to meet the unions, fobbing this off onto ‘employers’ when it’s known the government sets the agenda, emotionally blackmailing the public by suggesting strikers are the ones causing the problem and trotting out the script about the recommendations of ‘independent’ pay review bodies when it’s known the government also sets their agendas. Another key technique is to keep citing ‘ordinary people’, ‘hardworking families’ etc when, actually, the strikers are ‘ordinary people’ and members of the public. The government’s agenda, supported by the right-wing press, is for people to take against the strikers making reasonable claims rather than the cynical politicians who could have chosen to remove non-dom status and pursue tax avoiders to boost the flagging coffers.

As topical as ever, Saturday’s Radio 4 profile is of Oliver Dowden, Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, responsible for running the Cabinet Office. You couldn’t make it up that one of his tasks isn’t to help resolve the strikes but ‘to co-ordinate the government response to the current wave of strikes’. These programmes can be revealing about their subject but I thought this one was far too jolly and flattering, portraying Dowden as some kind of understated but clever strategist when the impression, I suspect, of quite a few of us is of a conventional, repressed cynic prepared to do the bidding of various prime ministers to benefit his career. One contributor suggested his latest task is a ‘poisoned chalice’ – we will see what he makes of it.

RMT boss Mick Lynch, who so far no interviewer has got the better of, has challenged Rishi Sunak to a meeting but was snubbed. It really does seem that this refusal to talk to the unions, deflecting responsibility onto ‘employers’ is the government running scared. With Lynch in particular, Sunak could well fear coming off worse and his specious arguments being exposed for all to see. The Mirror said: ‘…instead the PM upped the bitter war of words against the union as his aides accused RMT of “holding Christmas hostage with more damaging strikes.”Mr Sunak is gambling that public opinion will turn against striking rail crews, nurses, posties border guards and balloting firefighters costing a million working days this month.’ This could be a gamble too far.

And rather than deal with these problems, Sunak is now planning legislation to prevent such strikes, but this will obviously take time and won’t be available to use in the current situation. As someone tweeted: ‘The people who exploit non-dom status and offshore trusts to dodge taxes are seriously trying to tell the people who do all the work around here that industrial action is immoral’. There’s a feeling in many quarters that the Tories are breaking Britain: nothing seems to work properly and it often feels that things are falling apart.

But this is just the start of Sunak’s problems. After weeks of failing to report it, revelations about the involvement of several former health ministers and Michael Gove finally forced the BBC to focus on the scandal of Tory peer Michelle Mone, who pocketed £29m from a ‘VIP lane’ crony PPE contract during the pandemic, most of the PPE being defective, too. Mone, originally appointed by David Cameron, has now lost the whip and has taken ‘leave of absence’ from the Lords, when this will also enable her to avoid scrutiny of her affairs. The credit here (and how many more scandals remain to be uncovered??) must go to the Guardian’s David Conn, who painstakingly investigated this affair for two years. Needless to say, Sunak, on hearing the revelations, purported to be shocked. Another of his MPs, Julian Knight, has also had the whip removed, although we don’t yet know the details.

https://tinyurl.com/559r4hb8

Bringing the party even further into disrepute is fresh-from-the-jungle Matt Hancock, who has vowed to engage with people in all sorts of new ways. That this deluded narcissist believes he matters one iota to most people is hard to credit, especially when he initially confirmed his intention to stand in the next election, only to withdraw it as it’s likely he’s been offloaded by his local constituency association. As for his book (The Pandemic Diaries), the cover of which sports a picture of Matt striking an uncharacteristically macho pose, some commentators have accused him of rewriting history. Former health secretary Stephen Dorrell has identified several key inconsistencies between text and contemporary account and warned that Hancock needs ‘to be very careful’ about repeating some of the claims under oath at the ongoing Covid Inquiry. I was struck by the book being co-written by right-wing commentator Isabel Oakeshott, as if Matt didn’t trust his own writing ability. But it seems Matt is unstoppable: he’s been pimping himself out on the speech circuit for over £2,500 a throw, clearly one of the new ways in which he plans to engage with people. ‘I look forward to exploring new ways to communicate with people of all ages and from all backgrounds’.

https://tinyurl.com/4vfyut8f

Sunak won’t see it like this, of course, at least in public, but the Home Secretary again recently proved herself an embarrassment. Although you could hardly make it up that the former head of the police watchdog (the Independent Office for Police Conduct), Michael Lockwood, was himself under investigation for a ‘historical allegation’, Suella Braverman, in her determination to appear powerful, wasn’t going to let him get away with resigning ‘for personal reasons’, as he’d originally framed his departure. She compelled him to either resign or be suspended, effectively boasting about taking ‘immediate action’ by forcing his resignation then outing her involvement to the media, the classic irony being that she herself should have resigned on two occasions. A classic example of projection but not one which enabled her to display any skill in that role.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-63848998

Still on the topic of MPs, and in the wake of Labour’s success in the Chester by election, it’s emerged that there are now 14 independents in Parliament. These are people who’ve lost/resigned their party whip but who aren’t (as surely they should) triggering a by election. This means their local constituencies aren’t being democratically represented as many locals would have voted for them as being committed to the manifesto of their party. Yet something else which needs addressing if/when we ever get constitutional and parliamentary reform.

We have to wonder about the timing of Jeremy Hunt’s macho new strategy to ‘grow’ the economy, via what seem very reckless banking reforms which remove some of the protections brought in after the 2008 financial crisis. It’s significant, in my view, that they been pompously badged the ‘Edinburgh Reforms’, just because his speech was made there. There seems to be a perceived need to add authority and dignity to a set of measures which will surely cause even more alarm amongst the public. ‘Jeremy Hunt is due to unveil a 30-point package of City policy changes on Friday that will involve rowing back on regulations in order to boost competition and growth. The chancellor’s announcement, referred to as the “Edinburgh reforms”, will outline how the government intends to ‘review, repeal and replace’ a host of rules that were introduced to protect savers and the taxpayer after the 2008 financial crisis, but which ministers now believe risk hindering the success of London’s banks and insurers compared with their overseas peers. The changes are Hunt’s attempt to rebrand what his predecessor Kwasi Kwarteng claimed would be a post-Brexit “Big Bang 2.0” for the City’

It seems that Hunt is clutching at straws (breaking them in the process) to ‘prove’ that Brexit has been ‘a good thing’. One of the intentions is to remove ring fencing, which forced banks to separate their retail banking and investment banking operations but some have suggested this would only apply to some banks, not all. One tweeter asks a key question: ‘Is ‘opening up for foreign investment’ just another term for money laundering?’ That certainly seems possible. That cynical manipulation of language again, eg ‘getting rid of red tape’ whilst failing to mention that said ‘red tape’ consists of important measures to protect consumers and the wider economy. Critics have called this exercise ‘a regulatory race to the bottom’.  Political economist Will Hutton tweeted: ‘Financial reforms to boost City of London ‘competitiveness’ exploiting Brexit ‘freedoms’ are risky, futile, unwanted and betray intellectual bankruptcy. The City used to be the financial capital of Europe. It is becoming a regional backwater. Brexit is the cause not the opportunity’.

https://tinyurl.com/yvuf54hc

As the NHS crisis worsens, an already difficult situation exacerbated by (understandable) strikes, we hear more and more dreadful stories about how patients have been left lying on the floor for up to 10 hours, even worse if this happens to them outside. This alone is enough to affect our mental health, the idea that should we need medical help urgently, no one would come for hours, if at all. It’s not surprising that even higher ‘excess deaths’ than previously have been anticipated. A macabre thing I found myself wondering (but getting no answer on) is whether hospitals now have an entrance separate from A&E for ambulances to drop off those who have died while waiting or during transit. The intertwined problems of the NHS and social care seem so entrenched and intractable that any solution will take a considerable length of time to implement, even the government’s cynical strategy to let the NHS deteriorate to such a point that it ‘has to be’ privatised.

Meanwhile, a leaked document shows the extent of the crisis…. ‘Health officials are drawing up plans to draft in thousands of extra volunteers to help the NHS cope with ambulance delays and hospital pressures this winter’. How shaming, too, that the government had to do this: ‘In August, the NHS started a £30m four-year contract with St John Ambulance to provide “surge capacity” to 10 ambulance trusts and act as an official auxiliary service for England. Under the arrangement – the first of its kind – the charity is providing a minimum of 5,000 hours’ support a month via crews with the capacity to respond to the most urgent, life-threatening 999 calls’. However, one clinician warns against this strategy: ‘What we need is a skilled and trained workforce to try to deal with the problems we’ve got at the moment. It’s not just boots on the ground…’.

https://tinyurl.com/yvm7cv23

Soaring energy prices and the freezing weather have put fuel poverty even more under a spotlight and the charity National Energy Action reckons that 6.7 million household already fall into this category, with 2.4m borrowing or using credit cards to pay their bills. Both physical and mental health are harmed by this situation but whatever the household income, it seems people have feared putting their heating on and have resisted it, until now. For some weeks it’s been a regular topic of conversation: ‘Have you put your heating on yet?’The current temperatures mean those who can use their heating will but what of those who simply can’t pay? It seems terrible and primitive that in what is supposed to be a developed country people are resorting to virtually wearing quilts and dressing for the outside when they’re actually inside. Besides food banks (or, euphemistically, ‘food pantries’) it seems that ‘warm banks’/’warm spaces’, quite a few in public libraries, are also being normalised. It’s unfortunate they are needed at all but there have been some positive reports of people benefiting not only from being warm, getting a hot drink, recharging their phone, etc, but also from interacting with others. If it wasn’t so serious one tweet about this could be found amusing, a depiction of Nadhim Zahawi in his stables, the text underneath reading ‘My horses are warmer than your kids’.

Meanwhile, in a shockingly cavalier but not surprising admission, sacked Chancellor now says he and Liz Truss ‘got carried away’ on their mini budget and didn’t consider the political and economic consequences. This is just breathtaking for supposedly experienced politicians, the kind of mistake school children wouldn’t even make. How do they feel and live with themselves, knowing how much damage they’ve inflicted and stress they’ve caused people? Yes, I know, they’re far too thick-skinned to let any of this bother them, except their legacy will be dreadful and they could do with reflecting on that. ‘Kwarteng announced a raft of tax cuts without any reduction in spending in September, which led to the pound crashing against the dollar, pension funds nearly collapsing, a £65bn Bank of England bailout, soaring mortgage costs, and the cost of government borrowing increasing. He also said he would remove the cap on bankers’ bonuses’.

https://tinyurl.com/mabwmnv9

The cost of living crisis and transport strikes have also been costing the hospitality industry dear, some pub and restaurant bosses expressing frustration and anger about Christmas booking cancellations when interviewed in the media. ‘The trade body UK Hospitality said it expected the strikes to cost businesses about £1.5bn in lost sales and other knock-on effects, with a lack of a breakthrough deal pushing up expected cancellations to 35%-40% from 20%-30% at present’. I certainly have some sympathy with them but many can’t afford to go out at all and many more are thinking twice about it, some of us at least not being best pleased with overpriced menus and unheated or poorly heated premises in some cases.

https://tinyurl.com/3tu5dujj

The government must be feeling some relief that at least one febrile news item doesn’t have them once again in the frame, that is the reinvigorated and polarised debate about the Duke and Duchess of Sussex, which has accompanied the release of their ‘documentary’ series on Netflix. The £112m deal has involved the delivery of six episodes of Harry & Meghan, ‘an up-close-and-personal documentary of their life together’. The media has been in a frenzy about it, many lambasting what they see as attention-seeking and efforts to undermine the monarchy. Some commentators have gone over the top with their declarations that it’s all so disrespectful of the Queen’s memory, how hurt she would have been and how unpatriotic they both are. The Daily Mail accused the pair of wanting to ‘bring down the monarchy’ and describing the tell-all as an ‘assault on the Queen’s legacy’. The media have reported two lots of ‘furious’ reactions: one by Prince William, as could be expected, but the other from Netflix bosses, who believe they have detected fake footage in the series trailers which they would have expected the Sussexes to flag up prior to the streaming.

One reviewer found the first episode ‘sickening’ and at least one bit I’d concur on is where Harry, alluding to the Windsors’ first meeting with Meghan, cringe inducingly says to camera ‘Maybe they were surprised a ginger could land such a beautiful woman’. I find myself ambivalent on the Harry/Meghan debate: I think there’s little doubt that they did experience a form of racism within the royal family and wider household, some aspects of Meghan’s reception were hostile, and there’s far too much sycophantic and mindless royal worship which shouldn’t be conflated with ‘patriotism’. On the other hand it’s well-known that the Sussexes need to generate income, they complain about media intrusion when their self-promotion is dependent upon the media, some of the accounts of events don’t stack up and the Californian style obsession with ‘telling our truth’ is grating. It seems to me that a mistake she made was to perceive and assume that the Royal Family was just another cadre of celebrity, a milieu she was already familiar with and that many problematic assumptions stemmed from that. Meanwhile, there’s much more anti-monarchist sentiment than the media coverage would suggest, as we saw with coverage of the Queen’s Jubilee and her death and funeral.

https://tinyurl.com/324h6dzv

Given the cost of living and housing market crises, a very interesting article (Why inheritance is the dirty secret for the middle classes- harder to talk about than sex) discusses an issue which is rarely aired – that of the haves and have-nots in terms of inheritance. Many young people benefit from family inheritance, handed down via the ‘bank of mum and dad’ but many others don’t have this opportunity. This results in massive inequality between those who can afford to buy their own property in their 20s or 30s and those who have no choice but to chase expensive rented property or live with their parents or friends. The author suggests that this is where the real social divide is, not the one often cited between boomers and millennials. One of the young people cited had her IVF treatment paid for by her parents and before that had had help buying a house her house and her student loan paid off so that she could then start saving for a pension. Such situations truly illustrate the gulf between the haves and have nots but surely also come with a disadvantage, that of such gifts perhaps being taken for granted and affording far less opportunity for the individual to stand on their own two feet and develop strength of character from having managed financial hardship.

‘Although she couldn’t be more grateful for her parents’ life-changing generosity, like many recipients of family money, she isn’t comfortable discussing it publicly…she hasn’t been upfront with colleagues about how she came to buy a house so young. It seems to me that this beneficiary gets it in one about privilege: ‘When I think of the money that’s gone into that pension, it just starts a whole cycle of privilege over again.’

https://tinyurl.com/bdz7ur4e

A bright note to end with! The cost of gas and electricity means many have cut back on using their ovens, but still wanted to make their own Christmas cakes. A generous baker in Yorkshire has kindly invited locals to use his ovens for free, the fuel for which costs £2,000 a month. ‘We’ve got to have our ovens on anyway – I just wanted to help people out a little bit’. Truly cheering and inspiring to hear about people like him!

Sunday 27 November

In the wake of the impactful Autumn Statement and as we enter the last week of November we’re faced yet again with a relentlessly depressing situation: continuing industrial action from transport workers, postmen, university staff and soon nurses; the news that by Spring millions of households will be spending a third of their income on fuel; more government corruption coming to light in the form of Baroness Mone and her £29m ‘gain’ from the PPE ‘VIP lane’; yet more bullying accusations against Justice Secretary Dominic Raab and an inquiry no doubt we will be paying for; the news that water companies are dumping sewage on beaches and in rivers even in dry weather when it’s only ‘supposed’ to happen during exceptional periods eg heavy rain preventing the normal systems from working; the continuing war in Ukraine; endless hypocritical handwringing over the political aspects of the World Cup; and continuing immigration and asylum seeker system  failures despite the government giving yet more funds to the French. And if this wasn’t enough, Matt Hancock now being in the final of I’m A Celebrity, prompting one tweeter to wonder if the promotional tweets were being funded by his fee or coming out of his parliamentary expenses.

It seems to me this captures how low standards in public life have sunk, not only that this former health secretary who inflicted colossal damage during Covid is parading himself so proudly in public but also that so many viewers are voting for him. Conservatives continue to get away with repeating their soundbites based on misrepresentations and straightforward lies, challenged neither by the media nor the very weak Commons Speaker and unfortunately the gullible and those not using other news sources will fall prey to them.

The damaging effects of BBC government collusion are captured by the following tweet: ‘The BBC does amazing reporting on struggles of workers and the persecuted overseas under authoritarian governments. What happens when they report on the UK & become the tool of a destructive government against the interests of workers & persecuted? How do they explain this to themselves?’

A key example is the way strikers like the nurses and rail workers are being demonised rather than the government taking responsibility for the unrest. Most of these workers aren’t ‘demanding inflation busting increases’, as suggested in the right-wing media, but reasonable rises when in many cases their pay has remained stagnant for years. And new Transport Minister Mark Harper is being disingenuous by blaming rail unions when it was clear that the government had intervened last week to prevent the Rail Delivery Group making a pay offer – so much for ‘the employers’ being in charge. It seems a kind of hubris which prevents ministers sitting down and negotiating with the unions but now these strikes are becoming very wearing, not to mention disruptive and damaging all round. And a key factor surely is that workers no longer (if they ever did) buy the government’s argument that the country ‘can’t afford’ pay rises when for years now we’ve seen millions of pounds wasted or siphoned off by corruption.

It’s possible the Lady Mone scandal won’t be easily shrugged off, though, as the Guardian spent two years investigating the profits she and her husband made from their links with PPE Medpro, the goods supplied weren’t even fit for purpose and there’s substantial evidence that Michael Gove was involved. It’s surely shocking that it was journalists who had to uncover the story because of the weakness of current channels and a reminder that Rishi Sunak still hasn’t appointed an ethics adviser. Another thing a new adviser could get their teeth into (though, again, surely existing government machinery should have stopped this) is the news that a year since the Owen Paterson revelations about MPs’ second jobs followed by a government promise to clamp down on it, MPs have nevertheless earned more than ever this way.

‘Overall, MPs made more than £5.3m from outside work in that period, with many, including former cabinet ministers, taking on new roles as advisers and non-executives in the last year for companies that in several cases were run by major party donors. Many have taken jobs in areas they used to oversee in government. Former education secretary Gavin Williamson took on a role in June as chairman of the advisory board of RTC Education Ltd, a private education group whose chairman Maurizio Bragagni and chief executive Selva Pankaj are major Conservative party donors’. Corruption, pure and simple.

https://tinyurl.com/ysxxheup

Some are wondering why lingerie purveyor Michelle Mone was even elevated to the Lords by David Cameron. When reports emerged of her links to one of the many fraudulent PPE suppliers during Covid, facilitated by the government’s ‘VIP lane’ they were met with repeated denials and a key aspect of this story is that although it’s been covered by other media, the BBC has not yet reported it. Something to do as ever, with their DG and Chair being embedded with the Conservative Party but as this omission amounts to a kind of censorship it’s another serious breach of the BBC’s mission ‘to inform, educate and entertain’. A good example of this is that Gove wasn’t asked about his role in this affair when interviewed at length last week on Radio 4’s Today programme.

‘However the Guardian has chipped away at the edifice of the denials. A two-year investigation establishing the couple’s links to PPE Medpro culminates today with newly leaked documents indicating that Mone and Barrowman (husband) secretly received tens of millions of pounds originating from the company’s profits, which were sent to the Isle of Man’. A tweeter said: ‘Baroness Michelle Mone started lobbying Michael Gove BEFORE her husband’s company Medpro had even been incorporated at Companies House. It seems Medpro being setup at all was contingent on them getting the nod for the £203 contract. The PPE cost £46m and they pocketed the rest!’

Gove definitely sounds on the ropes as a result of this investigation, giving inconsistent responses to questions. ‘Asked in an interview on Thursday how he had responded to Lady Mone’s approach in May 2020, Gove said he had referred all offers of PPE to ‘the appropriate civil service channels’. That explanation appears to be at odds with a chain of emails previously released under the Freedom of Information Act that shed light on how the company, PPE Medpro, was added to a “VIP” lane that prioritised politically connected firms. The emails suggest that after initially being contacted by Mone, Gove suggested she contact another then minister, the Tory peer Theodore Agnew’. An additional misdemeanour (but very telling) is the use of private email addresses by all parties.

https://tinyurl.com/379axxy2

Parliamentary sketch writer John Crace went to town on this, pointing out the very telling fact that no prominent Conservative was made available to answer the Opposition’s questions in the House, and the only one they could find was someone no one had ever heard of, one Neil O’Brien, a junior minister in the Department of Health and Social Care. He gave feeble answers to Angela Rayner’s questions, eg What due diligence had been done? How come Medpro had been granted a contract via the VIP fast lane? How come tens of millions of public money ended up in private offshore accounts? Why wouldn’t the government publish its correspondence regarding attempts to reclaim the money?

‘But he did want everyone to know there was nothing sinister about a VIP lane. It was just a way of making sure that people with access to Tory MPs were given priority treatment. But they were still subject to the same low levels of due diligence as everyone else. There were no special favours. And getting money back was proving quite tricky. There was no VIP service for the government to reclaim money that had been obtained for worthless contracts. The VIP channel was strictly one-way. The government’s way of reaching out to business’. I suspect we can safely say he won’t be invited again. Meanwhile, Mone is still trending on Twitter and the scandal doesn’t look like going away any time soon, yet another shaming burden for Sunak to contend with.

https://tinyurl.com/yvnbj6uc

An even more damning article in The Times (worth reading) addresses the mystery of how Mone was ever elevated, the author describing her as ‘the most chaotic person I’d ever met. You occasionally come across people like Mone in interviews. They’re narcissists, obviously — ambitious, flinty, flamboyant. But there’s something else: a nasty whiff, a flicker of anger, a sense that this person might lamp you or knife your Porsche… But it isn’t long before a huge scandal engulfs them’.

https://tinyurl.com/2p9n99my

Something else that must be very worrying for the PM is the fact that nine Tory MPs (and how many more to come?) have already announced that they won’t be standing in the next election. There’s a witty headline (‘I’m a Tory, get me out of here’) to an article which says the number could rise to around 50, as MPs have to declare their intentions soon. Those who have so far gone public include Chloe Smith, the former Work and Pensions Secretary, William Wragg, the chair of the Public Administration Select Committee, Sir Gary Streeter and Dehenna Davison (levelling up department). This cowardly departure of rats from the sinking ship so that they don’t have to face humiliation at the next election is not dissimilar to their erstwhile boss, Boris Johnson, having stepped down from the party leadership contest when he understood that if he’d stood and failed, then his fee for appearances and speeches would plummet. It’s been almost amusing recently to see that (after what must be months of absence) that Johnson has finally been putting himself about in his Uxbridge constituency. He must be feeling the cold draught of insecurity at last. You can always trust the Tories to act cynically in their own interests. Good luck to them in trying to find a job. I’m sure we’re comforted to know that the older ones will be ok (unlike many of those currently in the general workforce): said one Tory ‘Some of those are in their 60s and 70s. If they go, they’ll get a good pension and be able to do the odd bit of work here and there’.

https://tinyurl.com/4ky2ahj8

Of course, the economy and cost of living crisis continue to be major preoccupations on all sides of the political spectrum, especially as the UK is predicted to be in recession until some time in 2024. Something I’ve noticed recently is the gaslighting and scapegoating of the ‘economically inactive’ (as per previous blog posts). As we know, many of those not currently working and receiving out of work benefits are unwell, awaiting NHS treatment and that list is now beyond 7m. Some of them are suffering the effects of Long Covid, and there aren’t nearly enough NHS facilities to treat everyone who needs help. It seems to me that the government is not even thinking about how to resolve this workforce issue but just wants to blame those for its own disastrous mismanagement of the economy. In a speech to business leaders the Bank of England Chief Economist implied that these people are likely to be contributing to interest rate rises and that this economic inactivity ‘could force a response from Threadneedle Street’. But some have left the formal workforce of their own accord, choosing more casual work or reliance on savings, due to a number of factors including poor working conditions and bad management including bullying.

https://tinyurl.com/ycyr79c5

Another cause of ‘economic inactivity’, this time in younger people, is the crippling cost of childcare, yet something else the government hasn’t addressed. ‘There is no help for mums’ says Felicity Hutchinson, who has just taken the drastic step of giving up her job in a cafe, because reduced hours meant there was no way she could cover the cost of childcare…. Jeremy Hunt’s Autumn Statement this month, which promised to set the UK on a path to sustainable growth, made no mention of childcare – but a vocal coalition of campaigners and experts say the existing system is broken, and fixing it should be a key plank of economic policy. The UK’s patchwork of provision is among the costliest of any developed nation, according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’. Of course this situation doesn’t only affect young parents but grandparents called upon who may have had to give up their own work to help with the children.

https://tinyurl.com/yn39vfm5

Commentator Fraser Nelson points up the short-termism at the heart of the government’s inaction in this area, suggesting that people aren’t getting the necessary help to get back into the workplace ‘because employers and politicians are too quick to reach for the short-term fix of imported labour. We can’t carry on like this. No country can truly prosper while overlooking 13% of its working age population’.

The current situation makes a joke of Chancellor Hunt’s bullish declaration that the government’s priorities ‘are stability, growth, and public services’ when we don’t have any of those things. As for his vow to ‘protect the most vulnerable’, it’s doubtful that those relying on food banks or lying on their floor still waiting for an ambulance after 10 hours would be able to take that seriously.

Not surprisingly, we’re told that Black Friday got off to a sluggish start. Besides the cost of living crisis it might be that customers are now generally more cautious, since consumer organisation Which? said that most of the ‘offers’ were duds. Hospitality traditionally pins its hopes on Christmas as a business generator but not this year: it’s unfortunate that so many establishments are closing because they can’t get staff or afford the bills including heating, but I struggle to sympathise with the upmarket joints which charge up to £200 a head for a meal. How is that ever justifiable? One such owner is ‘very scared’ that a lot of restaurants could collapse in the months after the Christmas. ‘Aussignac’s fears are echoed in cities, towns and villages across Britain – a pattern of closures that many fear is about to accelerate as recession, rent rises and squeezed household spending combine with fraying public transport and rail strikes…. there was “nothing” in chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s autumn statement to tackle the staffing crisis in the industry’. An industry survey estimates that more than a third of hospitality businesses are at risk of failure in early 2023 due to cost increases.

https://tinyurl.com/4v243dam

So is there anything positive in this unrelenting catalogue of misery? A few things, yes, including (hoping their training will be effective) that north London Islington council is training barbers in mental health issues so they can be even more helpful to their customers, some of whom would be what used to be called ‘hard to reach’. The training has been designed to recognise when customers may be struggling with their mental health. It’s part of a £1.6m three year programme (Young Black Men and Mental Health) organised by the council and the NHS,

But it’s not new: years ago a project at the Maudsley Hospital did the same thing, with good results. ‘Black British barber shops have long been a sanctuary for black men and youth, not only to transform their hair, but to talk about love, financial woes and even mental health’. One barber observed: ‘For the black community, we don’t have a pub culture…The pub culture for the average Brit, it’s not just about drinking. It’s about socialising, it’s about communities coming together’. This work is important, having a creative approach to mental health awareness, especially since ‘black people of African and Caribbean heritage are far more likely to be sectioned under the Mental Health Act. Black people are also 40% more likely to access treatment through a police or criminal justice route, and less likely to receive psychological therapies. Two-thirds of permanent school exclusions are black pupils, and 60% of black people in England feel they are treated with less respect than others because of their ethnicity, according to data from Islington council’.

https://tinyurl.com/bdfvccd7

Finally, in its amusing yet eye-rolling ‘spirit of the age’ section, The Week tells us that the Old Royal Naval College in Greenwich is limiting visitor numbers to its Moon exhibition on Mondays, specifically to enable influencers and other social media users to get ‘the perfect Insta shot’ of the exhibition’s installation. Apparently the College hopes these people will come on Mondays and so there will be fewer on other days. So now you have it: if you can’t get a ticket on a Monday you’ll know you’ve been bumped in favour of an influencer!

Sunday 13 November

As ever, a week is a long time in politics, and any Conservatives who fantasized that Rishi Sunak would be the one to rescue them from the mire they’ve made  must surely now see that as a lost cause. Right from the start his poor judgement has been apparent, including appointing and keeping on Suella Braverman given her previous and new misdemeanours, appointing the three times failure Gavin Williamson to a Cabinet role ‘without portfolio’ then accepting ‘with great sadness’ his resignation days later, then clearly having no grasp of the climate crisis but U-turning on COP27 when he learned Boris Johnson was attending. Not only that but his performances at Prime Minister’s Questions have widely found to be poor, over-relying on sound bites and predictable script (yes, including that one about the vaccine rollout being the fastest in Europe, old news) and unable to respond Starmer’s challenge about appointing Williamson when he’d known the latest about his unacceptable conduct. (What’s surely puzzling is why people like ‘Sir’ Gavin think they can get away with such behaviour, as if they believe the evidence of their incriminating messages will never come to light). The evidence that things did indeed get worse after Boris Johnson is even worse for our mental health.

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Sunak was eviscerated by John Crace, who reckoned ‘There was barely a veneer of plausibility to his leadership. Like Boris Johnson and Librium Liz before him, just lurching from one self-inflicted disaster to another. It’s what happens when you race though the gene pool of talent and wind up in a puddle. He’d chosen a duff cabinet. Of course he had. Because who could possibly have guessed that Gavin Williamson would crash and burn. After all, it wasn’t as if he’d twice previously been sacked…He’s now done three (PMQs) and is getting worse each time – you might have got more sense out of the lettuce… So much for his integrity, professionalism and accountability’. Quite – what we’ve seen so far from this administration (I refuse to call it ‘premiership’) is the very opposite: grubby, dishonest and totally unaccountable.

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We have to wonder whether those (like Education Minister Gillian Keegan this week) wheeled out on the media round to defend the indefensible ever feel a bit silly when a wrongdoer like Williamson finally resigns when the weight of their misdemeanours and colleagues’ wrath makes their position untenable. From her and people like Oliver Dowden we heard that Williamson’s toxic messages to former Whip Wendy Morton were written ‘in the heat of the moment’, when it was clear that they had actually been written over the course of several weeks. ‘He regrets it, he’s apologised’ aka ‘move on’, but many of us are not prepared to just ‘move on’: it’s not just this episode either, but Williamson has had form for years, leading to the speculation that he keeps being awarded stuff (job, knighthood etc) for no good reason solely because ‘he knows where the bodies are buried’. What an own goal – any such appointment is going to bring Parliament and Conservative Party further into disrepute.

It’s shocking that we’re having to get used to the Tory-colluding BBC not reporting issues and events which show their puppet masters in a poor light. Last weekend there was a another massive Tory austerity protest in Central London, barely mentioned by BBC News, yet the Just Stop Oil and other protests involving blocking of motorways and attacking art works get plenty of media attention, the purpose being to use them as a dog whistle to their supporters on the Right. If we’re complaining about road blockers inconveniencing us or soup being thrown at classic paintings our attention is diverted from the government’s threadbare policies on climate change and the cost of living crisis. Another shocking aspect to the protests was journalists being arrested for covering them. Not everyone will be aware that the basis was ‘suspicion of conspiracy to commit a public nuisance’, a new crime introduced as part of the Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Act carrying a jail sentence of up to ten years. When journalists are prevented from doing their jobs it’s a threat to democracy of the kind we don’t expect to see here.

As if this wasn’t enough we have the Public Order Bill still to come (currently at Committee stage in the Lords), targeting protesters and striking workers in key industries. ‘Confirmation also arrived that the government is pursuing legal moves to introduce minimum service levels during strikes by transport workers after months of industrial action by railway workers in disputes over pay, jobs and conditions. Braverman has vowed to use the government’s public order bill to allow secretaries of state to apply for injunctions in the ‘public interest’ where protests are causing or threatening ‘serious disruption or a serious adverse impact on public safety’. It could be argued that it’s not ‘in the public interest’ to shut down legitimate protest of the kind that wakes people up to the existential reality we face – handing out leaflets won’t cut it.

The amount of flak Suella Braverman has been rightly getting over her mismanagement of the asylum system must be making her slightly nervous about her own position now Williamson has gone. This week the detail of asylum system mismanagement came to light, including the fact that ‘new recruits, hired through online advertising and high street recruitment agencies, have no prior experience or knowledge of the asylum system. Many are placed on rolling, temporary contracts, typically for three months. Despite being promised comprehensive training, decision-makers report being “left to fend for themselves” after two days, and having to conduct complex interviews and make “life or death” decisions’. These were people formerly in sales positions with the likes of Tesco and Aldi so it’s not surprising that they find it difficult to cope with totally unfamiliar work. Not only unfamiliar but frighteningly complex, with much hanging on it as they have to make decisions based on every individual’s circumstances.

 But it all just shows the low priority the government is giving to this crucial area. It’s an example to bear in mind next time you hear a minister boast in the media about the hundreds being recruited to solve this or that problem. ‘There are currently 1,090 decision makers working to clear the backlog, which now stands at more than 117,000 cases. The backlog is blamed for the significant numbers of asylum seekers being housed in hotels at a cost of more than £5m a day, and the severe overcrowding at the Manston asylum processing centre in Kent’. We need more whistleblowers and former case workers in other areas to reveal what’s really going on behind the government’s often fictitious claims. Needless to say in this case the Home Office spokesman said: “The claims being made here are baseless. We have increased recruitment of asylum case workers by 80% since 2019 … All recruits must meet minimum civil service recruitment standards and are supported with extensive training and support by senior trainers and technical experts’. Which are we inclined to believe?

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A key complaint is about the helpline for asylum seekers, which ‘just rings and rings’, some callers holding for 3 hours and  the line going dead after a long hold. It’s interesting (and surely not ideal) that the charity Migrant Help, which runs this line and is funded mostly by the Home Office, is, despite complaints, ‘contracted to run the helpline until 2029 in a deal that could reach £235m, according to the government’s supplier database. Why were they given such a lengthy contract when so many others are determined by the government’s short-term thinking?

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Speculation and debate about why Albanians want so much to come here continue (eg some already have family here and speak English) and two reasons recently given in letters to the press sound about right: the UK not requiring ID cards, then enabling people to use the NHS free of charge and the same thing has facilitated a large black economy in the UK, attractive to those primarily wanting to make money. Another reason suggested is the perception of their own country being a failed state. It certainly sounds like a depopulated one – it must be so depressing for people left behind in those towns and villages. Writes an Albanian in a very worthwhile article: ‘It has been a curse because, contrary to what Tory propaganda would have you believe, nobody enjoys leaving their country just for the sake of annoying people in another. Even putting aside the dangers of unauthorised crossings, and even where legal routes are available, migration tears families apart, and brain drain is an open wound’.

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On the subject of MPs’ conduct, former Health Secretary Matt Hancock must be pleased he’s still trending on Twitter after several days, but usually not for a good reason. He’s rightly received sharp challenges from other I’m a Celebrity contestants and flak from long term critics Covid Bereaved Families for Justice and others. The excuse ‘I fell in love’ is so pathetic an excuse for his hypocritical conduct but even worse is his apparent failure to grasp the enormity of what he presided over, thousands of unnecessary deaths while the families and friends of the deceased were not allowed to see them. A tweeter observed: ‘My mother was in care during Covid. Later died. Had a socially distanced funeral. My father in law died in the pandemic. No funeral at all. But Matt Hancock, the guy who put the rules in – fell in love and so we should all stand round and clap him eating a camel’s penis’. Another said: ‘When John Profumo wanted to say sorry for lying to the House he resigned from office, resigned his seat, and devoted the rest of his life to quiet charity work. Matt Hancock went on I’m a Celebrity’. It beggars belief that Hancock tells fellow contestants that he’s ‘looking for a bit of forgiveness’, that he wants to how his ‘human side’ and that he purports to be claiming he’s raising the profile of dyslexia. He’s long implied that he’s well thought of in his West Suffolk constituency but quite a few there have gone on record to disprove this.

As if he needs any more undesirable news about his Cabinet, it seems Rishi Sunak now has allegations of bullying against Dominic Raab to contend with. It’s alarming to hear that staff at the Department of Justice were offered transfers on hearing of his return to that portfolio. Ironically, an apologist said ‘Dominic makes no apologies for having high standards. He works hard, and expects a lot from his team as well as himself’. Many would struggle to see ‘high standards’ in anything Raab has done, especially his appalling mismanagement of the Afghanistan withdrawal operation.

Amid continuing industrial unrest, more strikes scheduled, there’s increasing speculation as to the contents of Jeremy Hunt’s long anticipated Autumn Statement. The independent Resolution Foundation calculates that the Truss government was responsible for about £30bn of the fiscal hole which the Treasury puts at £60bn (£10bn higher than some other estimates), and which Hunt will have to tackle in the AS on Thursday. He’s typically prepared the ground by regularly alluding to ‘eye-watering decisions’ aka cuts, and the so-called £50bn black hole in the public finances, when it’s known that a) these would be unnecessary if the government went after tax avoiders and scrapped non-dom status and b) the comparison of national and domestic finance is a false one and ‘books’ don’t have to be ‘balanced’. A tweeter riffed on one of the Tory mantras: ‘We are a resilient and compassionate country. Apparently. But not all that clever – twelve years of cuts, low investment and lazy thinking has left us in danger of. . . a further decade of cuts, low investment and lazy thinking’.

This is a convenient myth long entrenched by Conservative administrations in order to justify cuts. Yet again economist Richard Murphy has made this point: ‘Jeremy Hunt is saying we cannot max out the national credit card this morning. This is total nonsense. There is no national credit card. Instead it’s the job of government to make the money we use. And since it can always make that money it can never max out on credit.’ The Friday Independent’s number of the day was 120 – cuts expected to hit this number of government services this winter. There are fears that civil service strikes could cause these services to ‘grind to a halt’: what happens when the country more or less stops functioning?

‘On Thursday Hunt will announce £25bn of tax rises, alongside £35bn of departmental spending cuts as he aims to restore at least some of his party’s battered reputation for economic management. The vast majority of the rises will be so-called “stealth taxes”, achieved by freezing thresholds on income tax, national insurance, inheritance tax, pensions savings and the threshold at which companies have to register for VAT. By not raising these thresholds by the rate of inflation, more people are brought into the tax net or dragged into paying at higher rates’. On energy, we can bet he won’t call it a windfall tax but tax on energy company profits of up to 70% could be seen that way.

‘Hunt is also likely to impose a higher tax rate on the profits of energy companies, raising the extra levy from 25% to 30%, lasting for another six years, on top of the 40% that companies already pay, meaning an effective rate of 70%. In addition the Treasury is examining potential changes to taxes on share dividends, and looking at lowering the threshold for capital gains tax, another move that would prove deeply unpopular in the Tory party’. This is the rub, though: it’s high time Conservatives were prepared to do things which are sensible but which won’t be popular in their ranks. For a change put the country first, not the Party.

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What’s extraordinary, given the state of the NHS, is that twice-AWOL Health Secretary Steve Barclay has vowed not to ask the Chancellor for additional funds for his Department, insisting instead that economies can be made via ‘efficiency savings’. Could this set in motion a macho competition between ministers, those desperate for funds being made to look feeble in comparison, when it’s NHS staff having to bear the brunt of Barclay’s politicking and currying of favour? ‘His remarks started “robust” negotiations with NHS England, which has warned that cancer care, GPs and mental healthcare face cutbacks without £6 billion to £7 billion more to deal with surging inflation and pay rises. Amanda Pritchard, chief executive of NHS England, said in a warning to Barclay that savings from bureaucracy could “only be a margin of an already small margin”….One source said that in a meeting with Hunt last week, Treasury officials had been ‘pleasantly amazed’ by Barclay’s willingness to live within his existing budget. What hubris: of course it’s not Barclay himself who has to ‘live within his existing budget’.  What more is he going to put NHS staff through?

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Following hot on the heels of his lightning visit to COP27 at Sharm-el-Sheikh, Rishi Sunak is flying to Bali (Indonesia has held the Presidency for 2022) for the G20 meeting scheduled for 15th-16th November. We will wait to see whether his performance there is any better than that at COP, his slot there apparently having had to be quickly shoehorned into a quiet period because of his late decision to attend. At least he won’t have Boris Johnson’s presence to contend with (as far as we know!). It was so transparent last weekend that Johnson’s main intention of attending COP27 was, as his speech showed, to suggest how marvellous COP26 which he presided over had been, such an air of positivity etc etc, and what rubbish this one is proving. Quite an expensive way of doing this but not for Johnson’s pocket, of course. Meanwhile, many are up in arms about Johnson’s resignation honours list: the honours system has long been a joke and this one makes it even more so. I noticed that some media sources have recently alluded to Williamson as Mr, not Sir: I wonder whether the latest batch of honours will carry such little weight that these Boris gongs could be disregarded. Plain ‘Nadine Dorries’, anyone?

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Recently the rapid change of prime ministers has focused attention on their choice of rousing music to accompany their campaigns and mountings of the lectern. Some examples of musicians and composers being very annoyed at their music being associated with politics they personally condemn came centre stage recently, for example Liz Truss’s choice of Moving On Up (by M People founder Mike Pickering). An interesting article analyses various other examples and Norman Cook (aka Fat Boy Slim) lamented: ‘You quickly find out that you’re powerless. The way copyright works, all you can do is ask them politely to cease and desist, but normally by the time you find out about it the damage is done – there’s that association. All you can do is go on the record saying: “It’s not in my name: I don’t agree with this.”…. Not that the band could do anything about it: the choice of music at such events is down to the discretion of the venue, not the label or artist (though it’s a different story for party political broadcasts). But just as there is a tradition of political protest music, there’s an equally long one of musicians protesting against politicians’ use of their songs’. What I don’t understand is why this is up to the venue when surely copyright law should be protecting the composers of said works? How galling it must be to know nothing in advance but to switch on the news and suddenly hear your own song blasting forth in the service of boosting a politician you despite.

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Finally, it’s good news that the street artist, Banksy, has left evidence of his presence in Ukraine, following the appearance of a series of murals in the town of Borodianka, near Kyiv. ‘One mural depicted a man resembling the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, being thrown to the floor during a judo match with a young boy’. Banksy confirmed his presence there via his Instagram account. I wonder if he deliberately chose this location because it was so badly impacted by Russian action. ‘Russian troops, rolling in from the Belarusian border 200 miles to the north, occupied the town in February. Together with Bucha, Irpin and Hostomel, Borodianka was one of the towns hardest hit by Russia’s bombardments. It was liberated in April’. I hope we get to hear what the locals think of these murals!

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Saturday 5 November

Yet another rollercoaster fortnight has passed, during which we’ve seen the accession of Rishi (which some erroneously persist in calling ‘election’); dismay in many quarters at his Titanic deckchair rearrangement including the reappointment of disgraced former Home Secretary Suella Braverman; the delay of the Autumn Statement until 17th November; heavy media coverage of the £50bn ‘black hole’ in the public finances, softening us up for massive cuts when any shortfall (this idea of any deficit has been discredited by numerous economists) could be corrected by measures like removing non-dom status and pursuing tax evaders; legislation effectively deleting 2400 EU laws remaining post-Brexit; the progress of the draconian Public Order bill; schools, the NHS and social care in crisis; disgraced former Health Minister Matt Hancock bringing his party and Parliament further into disrepute by participating in I’m a Celebrity following the public snub from Sunak and failing to get a Cabinet job; and the continuing and deepening migrant crisis which has shown Braverman in an even worse light regarding the conditions at the Manston immigration centre. Added to this the news that the UK is up for the longest recession in 100 years as the Bank of Englandraised interest rates to 3%. Phew.

This constant state of upheaval is bad for our mental health but it’s unlikely to end any time soon. Global ‘headwinds’ are reinforcing profound weaknesses in UK governance and its economy, aggravated by the evidence that no one is really in charge. We hear that Collins Dictionary has named ‘permacrisis’ (defined as an extended period of instability and insecurity) as their Word of the Year. This phenomenon is discussed by Jenny McCartney in an editorial for The Week. Citing the British-Turkish writer Elif Shafak’s views on Western distinctions between ‘solid’ (safe and steady like the US and much of Europe) and ‘liquid’ states (where sound governance, human rights and free speech could rarely be guaranteed), she says Shafak now finds this to be an artificial distinction. Effectively we are all ‘living in liquid times’, characterised by the rise of disinformation, demagoguery and divided identifies, with the capacity to undermine any political system. Identifying the factors contributing to the UK’s increasingly ‘molten’ state, Brexit is one of the key ones, ‘opening up a glaring new chasm in society, exposing and exacerbating differences over culture, security and national identity…. ‘Changes in policies and personnel now happen at a breakneck pace on an updated Twitter thread, generating gossip and drama in their turn..But ordinary people must endure the real consequences of this jittery churn, which plays out in nervous markets, escalating bills and atrophied institutions’. To counter this, she rightly suggests that politicians need to engage in thoughtful and long-term initiatives ‘to strengthen our communal bonds’. But there’s little evidence of this government’s willingness or capacity to change from their laissez faire short termism. ‘Jittery churn’ is such a good way of putting it.

It was worth watching Braverman’s lengthy and forensic interrogation by Shadow Home Secretary Yvette Cooper, during which Braverman repeatedly used inflammatory language to describe asylum seekers and on her fibs and avoidances being exposed, tried to portray herself as the victim of a ‘broken’ system. This prompted MPs and others to demand ‘who broke it?’ when, after 12 years of Conservative government, the answer is clear. It emerged that only 4% of those arriving on small boats have their applications processed within a year and that Mitie, a company headed by a Tory donor which benefited from crony contracting during the pandemic, has the contract for running Manston (only meant to hold 1600 but accommodating 4,000 when the scandal broke). No surprise there.

Despite the Home Office denials, we now know from the police that the firebombing of the Dover processing centre was motivated by extreme right-wing terrorist ideology. Again, no surprise when we witness the escalation of incendiary language in relation to immigration by some media and organisations, a key example being Nigel Farage on GB News.  What’s depressing to realise is this government has a vested interest in not improving the asylum system or conditions in immigration centres, so they can continue to use the immigration bogeyman in their messaging to supporters. Some commentators have suggested that the Tories are now doing so badly in the polls that this ‘illegal immigrants’ gaslighting is the only weapon they have left in their armoury.

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Adding insult to injury, the Independent’s number of the day on Friday was £3,500: the hourly cost of flying a Chinook helicopter, the transport selected to take Braverman the 20 miles from Dover to Manston on Thursday, where she refused media questions. A shocking example of the Home Office’s policy in tatters was the group of asylum seekers dumped outside London’s Victoria Station, with no suitable clothing and nowhere to go.What would have happened if a local charity hadn’t stepped in to help them? Curiosity has been piqued as to just why so many Albanians feel the need to make this journey when their country is not at war, a question astonishingly not asked recently of the Albanian PM, who complained about his people being unfairly associated with criminal gangs and drug dealing. A journalist based in Albania gave an interesting interview on Radio 4’s PM programme, saying that Albanians have always wanted to leave their country (as if it’s part of their culture and DNA, almost) but it also has to do with severely depressed wages, poor working conditions, the lingering effects of communism and that political upheaval, domestic violence and persecution of the LGBT community. We have to wonder what the Albanian government is doing to halt this diaspora, another interview revealing that some areas and villages were becoming depopulated.

Anyone seriously believing that ‘Rishi’ would prove some kind of saviour, ‘a safe pair of hands’ to quote that cliché, would now be disillusioned, not only by some serious mistakes within his first few days (like reappointing Braverman, demoting his climate change minister and refusing to attend COP27, only U-turning on this when it emerged that Boris Johnson was attending) but also by his poor performance in the Commons including Prime Minister’s Questions. Jacob Rees-Mogg resigned before he could be pushed and while Therese Coffey was ‘demoted’ to the environment portfolio, which many consider disastrous, Sunak saw fit to return Steve Barclay to Health and Social Care. Remember when he briefly occupied this role before and was AWOL for weeks? It seems the same thing is happening now as, unlike the others, he hasn’t appeared in the media. This is a disgrace when the NHS is in crisis and we need to know what his ideas are about its improvement. (Yes, we know the Tories want to privatise it but they can’t admit this openly so at least will pretend to be committed to resolving its intractable issues). Perhaps media-shy Barclay is still recovering from being accosted by that angry woman outside a hospital who demanded to know what he was doing about the NHS crisis before bellowing ‘You’re doing BUGGER ALL’.  

As the much-criticised Oliver Dowden, Dominic Raab and Michael Gove returned to Cabinet, one Twitter user summed up the feelings of many:Just by moving the pieces around board won’t fix the fundamental problems: a divided majority party in Parliament with three Parliamentary factions disconnected from its membership. Massive economic turbulence. Huge debt. Low growth. Workforce shortage’.One of the most cringeworthy performances I’ve seen in a long time is that of new Business Secretary Grant Shapps, whose chirpy ‘elevator pitch’ is available to watch on YouTube. Let’s hope that at some point the media assess his actual performance against his pitch. We sometimes get reminded that UK politics hasn’t always been like this clutch of pretentious and disingenuous lightweights. Last night Dame Margaret Beckett was on the BBC’s Any Questions, an example of the intelligent and thinking politician we used to have before the fibbing, gaslighting and scripted sound bite merchants took hold, aided by media collusion.

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Another major source of Sunak disillusionment is the unacceptable situation of having claimed ‘a mandate’ from 2019, no longer valid, but also stepping away from what he promised during his leadership campaign.  TheIndependent tells us: ‘A senior spokesperson for the prime minister said he was no longer committed to any of the promises made during his bid for the Tory leadership this summer, which included a cut to 16p in the basic rate of income tax by 2029 and a massive increase in offshore wind power’. Such developments have strengthened even further calls for a General Election, and those only listening to BBC News might not appreciate the extent of this as yet again the BBC is not reporting one of the many People’s Assembly demonstrations taking place today. The Larry No 10 Cat parody Twitter account observed: ‘417 years ago today a gang led by Robert Catesby and including Guy Fawkes attempted to destroy parliament. In their memory the Conservative Party now attempt the same most weeks’.

Very good news, then, to see that Labour MP Richard Burgon has been granted a Parliamentary debate on making the constitutional changes needed to allow people to directly call a General Election when the vast majority have lost faith in the Government. ‘That there’s no mechanism for people to do this is a scar on our democracy’. Quite so. With a Tory majority this initiative is unlikely to get that far but it does raise the profile of our democratic deficit, especially when the media refuse to report on the thousands attending demos to campaign for it.  Meanwhile, government corruption and cronyism continue to rule the day. Just one example is that of ex health minister Steve Brine, who took a paid job as adviser to drug firm Sigma without telling ACOBA (the Advisory Committee on Business Appointments). He then arranged a meeting between Sigma and vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi, the company later ‘winning’ a £100k Covid contract. Brine has just been made chair of the Health Select Committee.

There seems no limit to deluded ministers’ hubris: in the week we learn that hospitals and care homes have still not received any of the £500m emergency fund promised by the government in September to prevent the NHS becoming overwhelmed this winter, we see that the demoted Health Minister, Therese Coffey, wrote to thank her ministerial team, saying what a lot they achieved in 7 weeks. The background is that more than 13,000 of the 100,000 NHS hospital beds in England currently contain ‘delayed discharge’ patients, leading to A&E units becoming too crowded and ambulance staff unable to hand over patients. ‘As a direct result, thousands of 999 patients are suffering potential ‘severe harm’ every month because ambulances are stuck outside hospitals’. With NHS and social care chiefs saying things have never been this bad and  calling for the new minister, Steve Barclay, to make this an urgent priority, the Department of Health and Social Care, when challenged, predictably said: ‘We are working to finalise details on distribution and these will be announced as soon as possible’. Clearly this time not working ‘at pace’ or ‘straining every sinew’.  

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Describing several sources of a Westminster consensus last week, it’s worth reading this marvellous take-down of Matt Hancock by John Crace. ‘…Because the biggest outbreak of agreement was around Door Matt Hancock. You couldn’t find anyone who didn’t think he was a complete prat. His vanity meets hubris in I’m a Celebrity. Poor Matt. Delusional to the last. He wanted to connect with the real people, he said. And now was the time to do it. When the UK was still in complete chaos and no one would miss his valuable input as an MP. That much was true. It was a chance for the little people to hear about his fantastic new book, Pandemic Diaries. The everyday story about a man promoted so far out of his depth he ended up killing loads of elderly Covid patients by sending them back to care homes. A man so needy he imagined the public might fall in love with him. A man so dim he couldn’t see he would end up being made to do the bushtucker trial night after night. A man destined to disappear into obscurity as he chokes on kangaroo scrotum. Westminster won’t miss him’. Ouch!

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The book, scheduled to appear on 6 December to cash in on Christmas, has a cover picture of Hancock, posing to look macho and authoritative, which he never does in the flesh: it will no doubt attract further ire from his critics, especially the Covid 19 Bereaved Families for Justice. Interestingly, its co author is the right-wing journalist Isabel Oakeshott (he didn’t feel able to pen this on his own?) and part of Biteback Publishing’s blurb reads: ‘This unique book, based on the author’s contemporaneous records of those extraordinary months, candidly recounts first-hand the most important events and decisions as they unfolded throughout this unprecedented global emergency’. Hmmm…‘the most important events’? Will this include the crony contracting and cynical discharge of Covid patients to care homes? I can’t wait to see the reviews. The real ones, that is. The blurb already contains one we may have cause to question, by Michael Gove: ‘This candid account tells the story of what it was like to be at the heart of things. It’s the first draft of history and will help anyone fighting like we did to handle a pandemic’. Many might suggest they weren’t ‘fighting’ and they didn’t ‘handle’ it.

The government has already restricted democratic protest through its draconian Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Act, enabling, for example, the police to ban demos they consider ‘too noisy’. It’s now taking its Public Order bill through Parliament (2nd reading in the Lords last week), designed to prevent climate change and other protesters from causing disruption by ‘locking on’ etc. A petition signed by more than 300,000 people and coordinated by Liberty and Greenpeace was handed into the Home Office, demanding the Bill to be dropped. During the Lords debate Conservative peer Andrew Sharpe, a parliamentary under secretary of state for the Home Office, said: ‘Protesters can continue to have their voices heard but…they will not be allowed to wreak havoc on the lives of others while doing so’. Perhaps he deliberately missed the point that these days protesters against anything have to resort to measures some might consider extreme as it’s the only way to get people to sit up and take notice.

 It’s ironic that today has seen another big pro-democracy demonstration underway in Central London which so far (as so often in the past) hasn’t been reported by the public service broadcaster (BBC), which is repeatedly stressing its impartiality during its 100 anniversary celebrations. The BBC’s mission is ‘to act in the public interest, serving all audiences through the provision of impartial, high-quality and distinctive output and services which inform, educate and entertain’, but nothing is ever done to address the insidious spread of right-wing bias reinforced by the appointments of the current Tory-supporting chairman (Richard Sharp) and director general (Tim Davie).

Expands the mission statement: ‘Its content should be provided to the highest editorial standards. It should offer a range and depth of analysis and content not widely available from other United Kingdom news providers, using the highest calibre presenters and journalists, and championing freedom of expression’. But what we’ve seen on Radio 4 at least is the steady dumbing down of ‘flagship’ news programmes, poor quality journalism exemplified by presenters taking too much at face value and failing to challenge lies, multiple contributions from right-wing think tanks without stating their mission or sources of funding, and ‘balance’ interpreted as featuring several right-wing contributors and no one from the Left. This is what you get when the public broadcaster has been politicised but the fact that many only get their news from the BBC and the right-wing press means people can be collectively brainwashed, an attack on democracy, as is evident from the inaccuracies trotted out about immigration and the economy, for example.

Finally, it’s interesting to see that two representatives of the same socio-political class which has produced many of our politicians have set up a support group for men who’ve been made to feel ashamed of their privilege or been left numb by their boarding school education. We’re told that the Privileged Man group, which charged an annual fee of £1995, holds weekend retreats and Zoom calls for its members. It’s long been known by psychotherapists who work with Boarding School Syndrome that the damage caused by early separation from parents, giving rise to a premature and emotion-denying need to survive, can be considerable. A substantial number also experienced physical and sexual abuse, leading to lifelong relationship difficulties. Many products of this education form our ‘ruling class’, the unfortunate effects we’ve seen in the behaviours of Boris Johnson and his colleagues. The Privileged Man website states that it is ‘a movement of men committed to empathy, honesty, accountability and creating positive impact. Men who join the movement have seen another way to live and are ready to commit to themselves’. Good luck to them –they shouldn’t have any shortage of members although those most in need of it probably won’t be signing up any time soon.

Saturday 22 October

Of all the stormy weeks we’ve seen in UK politics recently, this last fortnight must qualify as the most tumultuous, during which, astonishingly, we’ve seen the PM’s sacking of her Chancellor, her absence from the House for Labour’s Urgent Question, (leaving Penny Mordaunt to endlessly stonewall the inevitable questions), poor performance at her second PMQs, the resignation of Suella Braverman, debacle at the fracking vote and finally her own resignation. Far right policy, as aggressively pushed by the ERG and IEA, has manifestly failed, but significantly, the damage inflicted on the economy and household finances can’t be rolled back. Furthermore, regular government business isn’t getting done so there’s a double whammy of damage we all have to contend with alongside the continuing political and economic instability. No wonder the UK is a laughing stock abroad. When not doubling down on the political turmoil, the media are reporting the shocking state of health and social care, how a Financial Conduct Authority survey shows 8m to be struggling to pay their bills and upheavals in the housing market.

Martin Kettle stresses that this isn’t just a short term situation: ‘Traumatic events bequeath traumatised legacies. We know this in our personal lives. The same is also true for nations and their politics’. He spells out how the trauma of the Truss era will affect us for years to come, getting to the mental health deficits the political wrangling, incompetence and corruption are inflicting but which don’t get much of an outing in the media.  ‘We need to ask non-partisan questions about the longer-term effect of prime ministers toppling, ministers coming and going, and the experience of watching an economy on a knife-edge. This requires us to step back and think about how the events of 2022 may shape those who will govern for the rest of this decade and beyond’.

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Despite the clarion calls for a general election, the Tories insist on clinging onto power, subjecting this country to further international ridicule via yet another leadership contest. You couldn’t make it up that besides Rishi Sunak and Penny Mordaunt, Boris Johnson (who was, disgracefully, on a Caribbean holiday during parliamentary time) is being supported to stand. Candidates must secure 100 nominations from Tory MPs and we hear that ‘Boris’, rushing back from his holiday, has already secured the requisite number. Wouldn’t you just know that Priti Patel is one of them? It’s the only way she can guarantee a job. But there’s still the little matter of the Privileges Committee investigation of Johnson and his misdemeanours, the Committee apparently having amassed plenty of written evidence and soon to start taking oral evidence.

At least some Tories have come out with honest opinions. ‘Jesse Norman, a senior Tory MP and Foreign Office minister, said returning to Johnson would be a disaster. “There are several very good potential candidates for Conservative leader. But choosing Boris now would be – and I say this advisedly – an absolutely catastrophic decision…..William Hague, the former party leader, told Times Radio that bringing back Johnson was the worst idea he had heard in his 46 years as a member of the Conservatives, and would cause a “death spiral” for the party’.

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As he did back in August, columnist and commentator Matthew Parris not only eviscerates ‘Boris’ but also suggests that getting Truss elected was a cynical ploy to enable his own return.  ‘No conspiracist in normal times, I have become convinced Johnson and his gang promoted Truss’s candidacy not because they thought she was any good but because they knew she wasn’t. Her failure was to be the launchpad for his return. I cannot disclose what has persuaded me Johnson thought she’d fail, but it confirmed all my suspicions. He knew that only against the backdrop of total mess could he look good’.

Narcissism is at the heart of his strategy, though, and this is manifestly unsuited to the PM role. ‘As for Johnson, he’s just playing with us again. If he loses, or withdraws, it’s only a game. But if he wins, it’s still a game. Whatever, we’ll be talking about him, and for Johnson that’s the thrill. Failure would be a pity but obscurity would be worse. Fame or infamy — it’s all in the mix for Johnson because both bring what Johnson most wants: attention. There’s a part of this man that would enjoy the walk to the scaffold: centre stage to the last. Weighed against the horror of being forgotten, Johnson sees the upside of a car crash’.

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A Radio 4 listener tweeted what many must be feeling: ‘At the end of the day, it does not matter which Tory becomes the next PM. They have all been part of the 12yr destruction of the economy, the lies, and corruption. It’s not just the PM, the whole Tory Party are rotten to the core’. Another said: ‘Tuning into Radio 4 Today, I can’t believe what I’m hearing. Johnson backers are slithering out into the daylight. He was a charlatan, a hedonistic libertine & a proven liar. Sixty (60) members of his administration resigned en masse – refusing to work with him any longer. No. No. No’.

Predictably, the straw grasping Daily Mail asks whether Johnson and Sunak could unite to ‘save the Tories’. Again and again we have this emphasis on the Party, the Party, revealing what the priority is in some quarters and it’s not the country. The Sun’s headline – ‘I’m up for it’- captures how Johnson sees this situation, language more suited to a mates’ booze up than a leadership contest.

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Although it’s a few days old now, it’s worth quoting veteran (and usefully outspoken) MP Sir Charles Walker, who pins part of the blame on the Party opportunists we’ve long come to recognise. ‘I’m livid and I really shouldn’t say this but all those people that put Liz Truss in No 10, I hope it was worth it, it was worth it for the ministerial red box, as it was worth it to sit round the cabinet table, because the damage they have done to our party is extraordinary’. When asked when Truss should quit, he replied: ‘Well I hope, by tomorrow … She needs to go. She shouldn’t have been made prime minister’. Meanwhile, new Home Secretary Grant Shapps is still digesting his sudden promotion: ‘There is a very important job to do.. People expect their government to ensure there is security for them. It is a great office of state. I am obviously honoured to do that role. I am going to get on with that serious role right now’. The way things are going he’ll be lucky if he has a chance to ‘get on’ with the serious role. Or worse: he might ‘get on’ with it in the same avoidant way he dealt with the rail unions in his Transport Secretary gig.  

We have to wonder, though, whether politicians or the media recognise what’s going on from a psychological and organisational point of view. What we’re seeing is a classic example of psychoanalyst Wilfred Bion’s Basic Assumption theory, which identified three kinds of defensive and unhealthy behaviour governing groups. It seems to me we are currently witnessing two of these: dependency and fight or flight.  In the first, the group is always hoping and waiting for a better, stronger leader to save them from the mess. Individuals are passive, waiting to be rescued (in this case by ‘Boris’) but no leader is ever good enough and leaders are replaced over and over again. The ‘flight or flight’ behaviour is all about group preservation at whatever cost, focusing energy on an enemy, eg Labour, EU, migrants, benefits scroungers etc. Externally this group is energetic but internally it fights itself (ferrets in a sack) and abdicates responsibility. The first step of changing a damaging situation is to recognise it, but this doesn’t look like happening here any time soon.

One reason will be level of delusion amongst Tory supporters: they really want to believe ‘Boris’ can ride to the rescue and that his many lies and misdemeanours can be swept under the carpet.  A commentator tweeted: “Why was Boris Johnson forced to resign as PM?” Tory MP: “Because some of my colleagues stopped believing in him.” Like Brexit and Father Christmas, you just have to believe!’

Then there’s the myth of ‘the mandate’, which has become a mantra amongst Tories and which is never challenged by collusive media presenters. COP supremo Alok Sharma tweeted: ‘I am backing Boris Johnson – he won a mandate from the electorate in 2019. We need to get back to delivering on the Conservative manifesto we were elected on’. What these people don’t seem to get is that a 2019 mandate doesn’t and cannot equate to a 2022 mandate, especially given the extent of incompetence and corruption in between.

As the weeks pass more attention is being to the need for ‘warm banks’, offering comfort to those unable to afford heating in their own homes. Libraries have been cited as a good venue for this but in my area at least there’s been no information from the council about this being in the offing. In many areas there’s been so much neglect of these important community hubs as they’ve long been seen as an easy target for cost cutting. At least there’s some guidance available, finance expert Martin Lewis having teamed up with CILIP (the Chartered Institute of Library and Information Professionals) to produce a guide called A Warm Welcome. Lewis said: ‘Of course, warm spaces are far from a panacea, not everyone will be able to get to warm spaces, not everyone will want to, and people will still need to heat their homes sometimes.. Yet I think they will turn out to be crucial extra help to get a decent number of vulnerable people through the winter’. A survey earlier this year found that nearly 60% of library authorities were actively considering taking part in a warm bank scheme: I’d have thought such a survey needs updating and a listing produced detailing the various facilities. No surprise that only 4% of library leaders expected to receive any extra funding for this activity.

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Following a recent piece here about the Booker prize shortlist, we now know the winner: ‘The Seven Moons of Maali Almeida by Sri Lankan author Shehan Karunatilaka has won the Booker prize for fiction. The judges praised the ‘ambition of its scope, and the hilarious audacity of its narrative techniques’. The judging panel’s chair, Neil MacGregor, chair of said the novel was chosen because ‘it’s a book that takes the reader on a rollercoaster journey through life and death right to what the author describes as the dark heart of the world…And there the reader finds, to their surprise, joy, tenderness, love and loyalty’. Sounds interesting but wonder how readable this novel is. I’ve found so many unreadable in the past.

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Finally, amid news of government ‘investment zones’ threatening environmental protections, it’s very cheering to hear about a new nature reserve being created from an industrial wasteland in Greater Manchester. Called the Flashes of Wigan and Leigh, the 738 hectare wetland was formed from flooding of land which had subsided following intensive coal mining in the 19th century. But during the 20th, the site has become home for various species including rare ones like bitterns and water voles. It would be marvellous to see a bittern, known for their distinctive booming call, as they’re so heavily camouflaged they’re hard to spot. The site has now been declared a National Nature Reserve by Natural England – I hope it does well for visitors and supporters!

Sunday 9 October

Another turbulent few weeks have passed, the new Chancellor and PM going AWOL for weeks after their ‘election’ before delivering a devastating ‘mini-budget’, the significant feature of which was subjected to a U-turn less than two days later. Within a month of taking office, Liz Truss was fighting for her political life, many of her own party wanting to get rid of her and this was before her wooden and cliché ridden media interviews and conference speech. Liz Truss’s Cabinet seems to be on a war footing and some commentators have raised the constitutional question as to how she could be removed. If Truss can’t get her budget through the Commons (and many of her own party plan to vote against it despite party chairman Jake Berry’s threat that they would lose the Whip), the King could dissolve Parliament and call an election. So far King Charles seems compliant, eg accepting the PM’s ‘advice’ not to attend COP27 despite having received a personal invitation, but at least one commentator has said he is entitled to exercise more constitutional power than the Queen chose to.

It seems strange that Truss and Kwarteng (lack of objectivity within their privileged bubble, surrounded by sycophants?) failed to anticipate the public and political opprobrium, panic and market frenzy which their fiscal intervention would unleash. The measures within their ‘mini-budget’ (so badged in order to evade Office for Budget Responsibility analysis) went against what so many economists recommended and ministers’ attempts to rescue it via the reminder of ‘supply side measures’ and a full Budget to come understandably didn’t cut much ice. As one tweeter said:‘The pound has crashed to an all time low, alarming the markets, experts and politicians alike. They had weeks to prepare for this, while remaining schtumm about their plans – did they seriously do no research to assess what the reactions to their plans might be??’ The tussle between the Treasury and Bank of England led to a Bank intervention to steady the ship, humiliating for Truss and Kwarteng, and we have to remember (since the sacking of Tom Scholar) that there’s a vacuum at the top of the Treasury. But no worries (joke) as Truss’s Chief Secretary to the Treasury, Chris Philp, and Financial Secretary to the Treasury (Andrew Griffith) continue to spout their ideological nonsense over the airwaves at every opportunity.

The threat to make further cuts to public services (£50bn a year according to economists) has to be taken seriously: some senior Tories (like Jake Berry and Steve Baker) have felt the need to apologise or step back from previous tactless and heartless comments. At some point robotic sycophant Simon Case, Cabinet Secretary, may have to do the same, having declared at the time of the budget that government departments needed the ‘fat’ trimming off them. Note the dog whistle assumption of ‘what taxpayers expect’: ‘There are plenty of areas where the government can become more efficient. We’re continually reviewing to make sure we’re getting good value for money and I think that’s what taxpayers expect’. What he doesn’t suggest, of course (funny, that) is the huge tax avoidance by non-doms and how massive public sector cuts might be unnecessary if the UK was to remove non-dom status.

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Of course the top rate of tax U-turn would be no comfort for those desperately worried about their mortgages or even whether new applicants could get them at all. Andy Verity, BBC Economics correspondent, said: ‘Mortgage lenders are pulling deals because the cost of borrowing over 2 or 5 years has shot up so fast along with gilt yields. That’s happening regardless of attempts at calming by BoE (Bank of England). I can’t remember seeing that before – and I’ve been reporting financial markets for 27 years’. It seems quite a few of us are now convinced the Conservatives, knowing they’re finished, are deliberately making themselves unelectable and going for broke. Nevertheless, Truss sticks to her ‘growth, growth, growth’ mantra and her dog whistle whipping up of hatred for the ‘anti-growth coalition’.

One of the oddest things about recent times is realising this government, like the last one, are immune to shame, seeing their approach as demonstrating courage and badge of honour rather than the reckless abdication of responsibility it actually is. Times journalist Matthew Parris is one of the latest to deconstruct the ‘anti-growth coalition’ bogeyman, a growing banner under which Liz Truss has placed environmental bodies such as the RSPB and National Trust, which blame her plans for ‘environmental vandalism’. Whereas Parris describes a large swathe of the Conservative Party as coming under this banner, Byline Times suggests that Truss is its real leader. ‘However, the list of people who the Prime Minister and her party have identified as the “enemies of enterprise” over the course of the Conservative Party Conference this week is rather long. By my count, it appears to include anyone who lives in north London, broadcasters, environmentalists, students, the Institute for Fiscal Studies and Bank of England, financial traders, Twitter users and the former Culture Secretary Nadine Dorries’. The paper details how successive Conservative administrations have worked against growth at the same time as pursuing austerity and points out that for such demonising to work people have to be on her side, whereas a poll last week showed 73% of voters have an unfavourable view of Truss.

The media have had a field day analysing the character and approach of both Truss and Kwarteng, anonymous comments about the latter confirming what we know to be the Eton ethos: to cultivate effortless superiority. Said one Tory:I found him very odd to deal with … but there is an intellectual arrogance about Kwasi and Liz [Truss] and Jacob [Rees-Mogg] and those four to five people at the top. They genuinely do think they are cleverer than anyone else and that other people’s views are slightly tiresome’. A second former cabinet minister told another MP just last week they had found him ‘extremely difficult’ to get on with and a third Tory MP who has worked closely with Kwarteng called him ‘the worst combination of laziness and arrogance’. Who does all this remind you of? Perhaps the worst example of this arrogance, though, is the evidence (apparently not investigated) of his hobnobbing with financiers over champagne, leading to suggestions of millions being made by shorting the pound. Insider trading is a crime but it’s doubtful Kwarteng thought he was ‘doing anything wrong’, or if he was aware what his behaviour amounted to, didn’t care.

What’s been shocking in recent weeks is seeing just how much Truss is in hock to the right-wing ERG (European Research Group misnomer) and even more the Institute of Economic Affairs think tank, whose agenda is to shrink the State. They run her and must have been mightily displeased at the top rate of tax U-turn. It’s not unlikely that she’s tried to placate them by withdrawing the plan (existence denied) for a public information campaign on reducing energy use, as this is antithetical to IEA’s abhorrence of the ‘nanny state’. In previous Conservative administrations this ideology was an undercurrent, exposed by certain journalists but now it’s out there in plain sight so even those who don’t keep abreast of politics will know about it. Linked to the mini budget,Kwarteng is expected to announce changes in eight areas including planning, business regulation, childcare, immigration, agricultural productivity and financial services. On the surface this sounds good but it could well be bad news as he will be influenced (dictated to?) by the Free Market Forum (FMF), an offshoot of the IEA, which wants an end to free childcare hours, the release of green belt land for housing, an end to corporation tax and removal of the requirement for teacher training qualifications for graduates.

Worryingly, the FMF has substantial Conservative support: ‘60 Tory MPs among its parliamentary supporters including Truss, Kwarteng, the deputy prime minister, Thérèse Coffey, the levelling up secretary, Simon Clarke, and the trade secretary, Kemi Badenoch. The former chancellor Norman Lamont and ex-minister John Redwood are also backers, while her No 10 deputy chief of staff, Ruth Porter, is on the advisory board’.

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Rafael Behr puts it more strongly, suggesting that Truss and her colleagues are addicted to this approach: ‘Liz Truss’s Tories are higher than ever on ideology – and they’re refusing to sober up’, spelling out the dangers. ‘Under pressure to balance the books, ministers rifle through the policy cabinet for something to sustain the ideological buzz. The hand inevitably alights on the bottle containing benefit cuts (or, as it is marked on the label, a decision not to peg welfare payments to rising inflation)…… Liz Truss’s leadership signals descent into the chronic phase, where craving for a hit overcomes all faculties of reason. The prime minister and her chancellor have already blown their stash of credibility on a binge of unfunded tax cuts. Then the debt collectors came – literally, in the form of soaring bond yields’.

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On Sunday veteran Tory ‘Sir’ Charles Walker was interviewed on Radio 4, commenting on the three articles in the Sunday papers by Cabinet ministers, all pleading for party unity. Their desperate use of the Keir Starmer in Downing Street bogeyman illustrates how much they fear losing their seats because of their policies and their infighting. Walker said, with no seeming awareness of his party’s self-obsessed conduct over the summer months, that the government must focus on the anxious population rather than its own internal affairs. A bit late for that.

So what have we got to look forward over the coming months? More of this government (even if Liz Truss is offloaded as PM) peddling its far right agenda, more Cabinet infighting, ongoing cost of living crisis, strikes in more sectors including the NHS continuing or being balloted on, three hour power cuts, a worsening Covid (and possibly flu) wave ( 9,631 Covid patients were in hospital by Wednesday), yet more Tory donors entering the House of Lords (already bigger than many countries’ second chambers) and a possibly dark Christmas (surely numerous councils won’t be funding the usual lights in high streets). Marvellous. Meanwhile, it’s surely unacceptable  that Parliament was in recess for so long, during the summer while the cost of living crisis deepened, then for the party conferences, so will not start its new session until the 11th. Of course this also hinders proper scrutiny of the government’s conduct because during this limbo MPs can’t question ministers on concerns from constituents about the cost of living crisis, including rising mortgage payments.

Not surprisingly, Labour is 33 points ahead of the Tories, yet it comes to something when longstanding Conservatives announce their intention to vote Labour, as Nick Boles did this week. How humiliating for the PM and Chancellor that Boles, who was the MP for Grantham and Stamford from 2010 to 2019, writes so frankly about them and their plans. ‘Since 2010, when all three of us were first elected as Conservative MPs, they have known what they believe – and have viewed those who didn’t agree with them, or didn’t share their unshakeable certainty, with amiable contempt. The UK is beginning to discover what it is like to be led by people who despise compromise and lack all humility. Every decision they have made in the past few weeks has its roots in the book they published as newly elected MPs, Britannia Unchained’. He goes on to deconstruct the ideology driving this government: ‘…real life and a modern economy do not conform to ideological constructs. The UK is dealing with an unprecedented combination of challenges: an ageing workforce, an energy supply shock caused by a European war, the sudden erection of trade barriers between British businesses and their largest export market, and supply chains that have been upended by a global pandemic. Claiming that cutting taxes on the richest individuals and largest companies will lead to a surge in economic growth betrays a wilful naivety…. My brief career in politics taught me a few crucial lessons. Those who are full of certainty are usually wrong. The capacity to listen, to observe, to weigh up evidence and to change your mind are some of the most important qualities in a leader. Of all the different kinds of fool, the most dangerous kind is the clever fool’. Oof!

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There can be few new prime ministers who’ve experienced as many self-inflicted humiliations as Liz Truss, including complaints from the writer of the Moving On Up dance song, cynically recruited as her conference speech walk-on accompaniment: ‘I don’t want my song being a soundtrack to lies’, said M People founder Mike Pickering. ‘Moving On Out’ as the Metro’s wags put it.  Then there was the massive tax cut U-turn, media interviewers suppressing laughter at her robotic and vacuous responses to challenging questions, having to declare President Macron ‘a friend’ when her ‘jury’ had stayed out so long and now having to sack a trade minister, Connor Burns, for allegedly inappropriate conduct (touching a man’s thigh being the latest news on this) during the recent conference. The lack of personal awareness is quite staggering: we’re told that the prime minister took direct action on being informed of this allegation and is ‘clear that all ministers should maintain the high standards of behaviour – as the public rightly expects’. Rhondda MP Chris Bryant tweeted: ‘No good options for the Tories. Keep Truss and endure two years of endless embarrassment. Ditch Truss and seed even more discord in the party. Either way their reputation for sound money and sanity is permanently damaged. Clinging on without consent poisons the future’.

One of the many things Labour no doubt would have wished to challenge the government on during this long recess is Health Secretary Therese Coffey’s decision to scrap the long-awaited health inequalities White Paper. Again we see more shrinking of the State: the PM wanting to review existing and planned measures to tackle obesity, her puppet masters no doubt believing that these also smack of ‘nanny state’. But again Truss and Coffey have encountered a massive backlash, with criticism from their own side, dozens of health organisations and 26 former health ministers.

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A key illustration of health inequality is reflected in the latest excess deaths statistics – more than 330,000 excess deaths in Great Britain between 2012 and 2019 attributed to spending cuts to public services and benefits introduced by a UK government pursuing austerity policies. Notably, these stats relate to the pre-pandemic era so cannot be conflated with Covid.

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A perennial cause of inequality is poor mental health, which may get some additional media focus as it’s World Mental Health Day tomorrow. The theme for 2022 is the vaguely expressed goal of ‘make mental health and wellbeing for all a global priority’: laudable but difficult to pin down. It’s shocking that so many patients are waiting years for treatment and many are unlikely to get it on the NHS but cannot afford private help. Not surprisingly, numbers of people needing treatment rose dramatically as a result of the pandemic. According to NHS England, the number of people waiting for community mental health care has risen to 1.2 million, with the NHS missing several targets, but this isn’t the complete picture as the numbers exclude those waiting for inpatient care and other services.. In addition, the figure for those waiting for a mental health follow-up appointment or learning disability service at the end of 2021-22 was up from 1.08 million at the end of quarter three. Furthermore, the goal of getting 1.6 million into talking therapy services was missed – only 1.2m started and it’s known that despite manipulation of statistics by IAPT (Increasing Access to Psychological Therapies, aimed at those with ‘mild to moderate depression’) many drop out early on or do not complete for various reasons.

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But as stressed many times previously, a key reason for poor mental health which goes under the radar is anxiety about money, housing and access to health services, etc, and about the incompetence of a government which doesn’t try to contain these issues but actually exacerbates them. This leaves many feeling insecure and very anxious about their futures. It was really telling that numerous organisations had to work together to even get mental ill-health included in the Covid Inquiry remit.

The media and politicians so often refer to Covid in the past tense but it’s on the increase again and there are concerns about new Omicron sub-variants taking hold and also combining with flu. Last week hospital admissions were up 48% (9,631 people with Covid were in hospital as of Wednesday, according to NHS England – the highest figure since 3 August). In addition, 1m are thought to have Long Covid, often a very disabling condition. ‘Danny Altmann, professor of immunology at Imperial College London and expert on long Covid, described the situation as deeply disappointing, noting that while the number of people with long Covid appeared to dip over the summer, it is now clear there is a definite, ongoing, upwards trend. He said: ‘This reinforces the message that it’s really foolhardy to imagine we can laugh off a massive, growing BA.5 wave as ‘living with the virus’ and ‘no worse than flu. Long Covid and even long Covid from the 2022 Omicron waves continues to wreck lives in people of all ages. I do wish we could just remind everyone to take this seriously – get boosted, keep indoor meetings well ventilated, wear masks indoors and for travel’. Professor Altmann also pointed out that public health messaging around the need for boosters hasn’t been strong: with the IEA-driven government we can’t be optimistic about this changing any time soon.

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Not for the first time, it’s worrying that again the BBC has chosen not to cover major protests two weekends running about the cost of living crisis, dangers to the environment and (this weekend) demonstrations related to the treatment of Julian Assange. Enough Is Enough, the organisation behind the cost of living protests, ‘has five general aims: proper living-wage rises, decent homes for all, higher taxes on wealth and windfalls, and an end to poverty of food and heating. It promises to mobilise a national network of support for coordinated demonstrations and strike action on these issues’. We can only think that this lack of reporting is a result of the BBC’s increasing collusion with the government, but this is dangerous stuff for a public service broadcaster.

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It’s sobering and frustrating to read about how the UK is seen abroad. Some European newspapers are thought to be revelling in ‘post-Brexit Schadenfreude’, Spain’s El Espanol suggesting that Britain seems to have imploded: ‘It should be remembered that the British voted in favour of ‘Brexit’ in the belief that they would take control and become a stronger country if they managed to throw off the yoke of Europe. Well, the exact opposite seems to be happening. And now that they are no longer under the protection of Brussels, they have no right or access to aid from the 27. If they want to overcome the crisis in which they are immersed, they will have to do it by themselves’. A couple of papers compare the UK to Argentina, the Irish Times columnist Stephen Collins suggesting: ‘The danger facing the UK now is that it could in time become the Argentina of Europe. It should not be forgotten that Argentina was once among the richest countries in the world but generations of bad political decision-making has brought it to its current sorry state’. For its part, France’s Le Monde said Truss’s first weeks in charge had been ‘spectacular and catastrophic’. This is such a tsunami of criticism that it’s hard to know how arrogant and chipper ministers would counter it.

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Recently mentioned in this blog, the concept of ‘quiet quitting’, originally coined to apply to the workplace, has now been taken further by the Guardian’s Zoe Williams.Sure, you can strive less in the workplace. But what happens when you dial down bigger things, like parenting, relationships and even showering?’ She questions the concept as it applies to work: (‘I reject the concept, from a workplace perspective: it merely means doing what you’re contractually required to do. This I would call “work”. Anything more than this is “hustle”) but wonders whether it can usefully be applied elsewhere. Such areas might include relationships, friendships, family, parenting, ‘excessive grooming’, social media and highbrow culture. This is written in a jokey way but some of the categories are certainly worth thinking about it, as so many activities are based on automatic pilot.

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Finally, talking about highbrow culture, 17 October sees the award of the 2022 Booker Prize,the UK’s most prestigious prize for long-form fiction’, the winners of which have often, in my view, been unreadable. This year has seemed much more promising, with several contenders being mercifully short. This year you can see short video readings of each one, the readers including such luminaries as Jarvis Cocker, David Harewood and Anna Friel. Having read two on the list, I’m looking forward to seeing which excerpts were chosen and perhaps finding out why!

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